The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Slate for Wednesday, November 4, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 10 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Sat, Nov 7 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Tue, Nov 3 · Mon, Nov 2

Best games

Wed, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM ET

Final LONG 73, JOES 82

ModelJOES −8.9MarketJOES −10.5

Wed, Nov 4 · 9:00 PM ET

Final RAD 70, CAL 84

ModelCAL −16.9MarketCAL −16.5

Wed, Nov 4 · 8:00 PM ET

Final SELA 59, AUB 92

ModelAUB −23.2MarketAUB −29.5

Wed, Nov 4 · 10:00 PM ET

Final MILW 72, SCU 95

ModelSCU −21.9MarketSCU −16.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

Wed, Nov 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Evening 7 games

Final
0.1%
>99%
49
63
✓
HPU −36.1
HPU −34.5open HPU −29.5
–
–
Final
0.8%
99%
65
99
✓
BUT −26.4
BUT −27.5open BUT −24.5
–
–
Final
21%
79%
73
82
✓
JOES −8.9
JOES −10.5
–
–
Final
14%
86%
67
79
✓
WICH −12.1
WICH −15.5open WICH −14.5
–
–
Final
1.7%
98%
59
92
✓
AUB −23.2
AUB −29.5open AUB −25.5
–
–
Final
57%
43%
102
94
✓
NKU −1.9
NKU −2.5open NKU −1.5
–
–
Final
6.3%
94%
70
84
✓
CAL −16.9
CAL −16.5open CAL −17.5
–
–

Late night 3 games

Final
8.2%
92%
64
105
✓
SMC −15.3
SMC −13.5open SMC −12.5
–
–
Final
2.3%
98%
72
95
✓
SCU −21.9
SCU −16.5open SCU −18.5
–
–
Final
36%
64%
96
95
✗
LMU −4.0
LMU −8.5open LMU −5.5
–
–