The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Slate for Sunday, November 8, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 29 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sat, Nov 7 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Tue, Nov 3 · Mon, Nov 2

Upsets

Best games

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET

Final ARK 72, UVA 91

ModelARK −5.0MarketUVA −2.5

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:30 PM ET

Final SMC 95, NEV 96

ModelSMC −3.5MarketNEV −1.5

Sun, Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ET

Final BUT 81, BOIS 100

ModelBOIS −1.8MarketBOIS −2.5

Sun, Nov 8 · 11:00 PM ET

Lake Tahoe Classic

Final USC 93, WICH 86

ModelUSC −8.8MarketUSC −6.5

Sun, Nov 8 · 8:00 PM ET

Final PSU 76, PITT 82

ModelPITT −4.3MarketPITT −2.5

Sun, Nov 8 · 5:00 PM ET

Final RICH 79, TEM 53

ModelRICH −2.9MarketRICH −1.5

Sun, Nov 8 · 8:30 PM ET

Final HOU 86, CAL 68

ModelHOU −23.0MarketHOU −19.5

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET

Final PRIN 68, SIE 82

ModelPRIN −2.6MarketPRIN −1.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

Sun, Nov 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Early 15 games

Final
0.3%
>99%
65
104
✓
SJU −29.7
SJU −28.5open SJU −27.5
–
–
Final
68%
32%
72
91
✗
ARK −5.0
UVA −2.5
Dog pick: ARK
–
Final
8.0%
92%
68
78
✓
SC −15.5
SC −17.5
–
–
Final
60%
40%
68
82
✗
PRIN −2.6
PRIN −1.5
–
–
Final
America East-Metro ChallengeMarist@UMass Lowell
40%
60%
61
63
✓
UML −2.7
UML −1.5
–
–
Final
America East-Metro ChallengeFairfield@Bryant
58%
42%
68
59
✓
FAIR −2.3
FAIR −1.5
–
–
Final
America East-Metro ChallengeSacred Heart@New Hampshire
39%
61%
81
76
✗
UNH −3.1
UNH −1.5open UNH −2.5
–
–
Final
America East-Metro ChallengeManhattan@Maine
32%
68%
68
62
✗
ME −5.3
ME −3.5open ME −2.5
–
–
Final
44%
56%
81
100
✓
BOIS −1.8
BOIS −2.5open BOIS −1.5
–
–
Final
23%
77%
76
67
✗
STMN −8.1
STMN −8.5open STMN −7.5
–
–
Final
America East-Metro ChallengeQuinnipiac@Vermont
27%
73%
79
76
✗
UVM −6.8
UVM −8.5open UVM −7.5
–
–
Final
16%
84%
78
71
✗
DART −10.8
DART −6.5open DART −5.5
–
–
Final
34%
66%
71
87
✓
WMU −4.7
WMU −5.5
–
–
Final
31%
69%
65
55
✗
LEH −5.3
LEH −5.5open LEH −4.5
–
–
Final
America East-Metro ChallengeMerrimack@UAlbany
53%
47%
73
60
✓
MRMK −0.8
MRMK −1.5open MRMK −2.5
–
–

Afternoon 9 games

Final
76%
24%
94
97
✗
WKU −7.8
WKU −3.5
–
–
Final
7.8%
92%
68
75
✓
DRKE −15.6
DRKE −13.5open DRKE −12.5
–
–
Final
37%
63%
82
89
✓
AFA −3.7
AFA −6.5
–
–
Final
America East-Metro ChallengeSaint Peter's@NJIT
58%
42%
52
54
✗
SPU −2.2
SPU −1.5
–
–
Final
17%
83%
63
75
✓
BING −10.4
BING −7.5
–
–
Final
63%
37%
95
96
✗
SMC −3.5
NEV −1.5open SMC −1.5
Dog pick: SMC
–
Final
60%
40%
79
53
✓
RICH −2.9
RICH −1.5
–
–
Final
82%
18%
80
91
✗
NDSU −9.9
NDSU −2.5open CSUB −1.5
–
–
Final
16%
84%
73
104
✓
W&M −10.8
W&M −9.5
–
–

Evening 3 games

Final
23%
77%
60
79
✓
UTEP −8.2
UTEP −12.5open UTEP −10.5
–
–
Final
35%
65%
76
82
✓
PITT −4.3
PITT −2.5
–
–
Final
98%
1.8%
86
68
✓
HOU −23.0
HOU −19.5open HOU −17.5
–
–

Late night 2 games

Final
Lake Tahoe ClassicUSCvsWichita State
79%
21%
93
86
✓
USC −8.8
USC −6.5open USC −5.5
–
–
Final
Rainbow ClassicUT Arlington@Hawai'i
24%
76%
62
71
✓
HAW −7.8
HAW −8.5open HAW −9.5
–
–