Slate for Thursday, November 12, 2026
The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 24 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.
Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.
Slates: Today · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Sat, Nov 7 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Tue, Nov 3 · Mon, Nov 2
Upsets
- Canisius 86, Brown 81Canisius won; the model gave them 7% before tip-off
Best games
Final OKST 69, TA&M 88
ModelTA&M −5.1MarketTA&M −8.5
Final RICH 70, SIU 80
ModelRICH −4.2MarketRICH −2.5
Final MONM 74, QUIN 70
ModelQUIN −1.9MarketQUIN −1.5
Final WMU 81, PFW 59
ModelPFW −1.0MarketWMU −3.5
Final NMSU 58, UTEP 60
ModelNMSU −0.8MarketUTEP −5.5
Final LMU 72, USA 79
ModelLMU −4.4MarketUSA −1.5
Final UCR 80, SJSU 75
ModelSJSU −6.5MarketSJSU −9.5
Final CCSU 79, SHU 75
ModelSHU −4.3MarketSHU −5.5
Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.
No games match.
Thu, Nov 12
Afternoon 5 games
98%
76
Evening 18 games
Late night 1 game