The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Slate for Tuesday, November 3, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 19 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Sat, Nov 7 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Mon, Nov 2

Upsets

Best games

Tue, Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET

Final HAMP 55, GT 75

ModelGT −9.4MarketGT −14.5

Tue, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM ET

Final LIP 54, IOWA 76

ModelIOWA −16.6MarketIOWA −23.5

Tue, Nov 3 · 7:30 PM ET

Final SHSU 74, ALA 96

ModelALA −20.3MarketALA −26.5

Tue, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM ET

Final UNO 57, LSU 100

ModelLSU −13.9MarketLSU −27.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

Tue, Nov 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Afternoon 1 game

Final
0.8%
99%
59
90
✓
TENN −26.4
TENN −24.5open TENN −27.5
–
–

Evening 15 games

Final
0.8%
99%
57
85
✓
UK −26.5
UK −33.5open UK −31.5
–
–
Final
1.0%
99%
54
88
✓
VT −25.6
VT −31.5
–
–
Final
7.9%
92%
55
81
✓
SC −15.5
SC −19.5open SC −16.5
–
–
Final
9.1%
91%
50
76
✓
BC −14.7
BC −19.5open BC −17.5
–
–
Final
20%
80%
55
75
✓
GT −9.4
GT −14.5open GT −15.5
–
–
Final
12%
88%
59
103
✓
URI −13.0
URI −20.5open URI −17.5
–
–
Final
25%
75%
71
78
✓
DUQ −7.6
DUQ −9.5open DUQ −11.5
–
–
Final
3.3%
97%
74
96
✓
ALA −20.3
ALA −26.5
–
–
Final
3.0%
97%
60
89
✓
UVA −20.7
UVA −31.5open UVA −26.5
–
–
Final
0.2%
>99%
61
106
✓
ARK −31.1
ARK −41.5open ARK −40.5
–
–
Final
6.6%
93%
54
76
✓
IOWA −16.6
IOWA −23.5open IOWA −20.5
–
–
Final
1.5%
98%
66
97
✓
TA&M −24.0
TA&M −32.5open TA&M −27.5
–
–
Final
2.3%
98%
50
111
✓
MIZ −21.9
MIZ −26.5
–
–
Final
10%
90%
57
100
✓
LSU −13.9
LSU −27.5open LSU −21.5
–
–
Final
20%
80%
68
66
✗
KSU −9.4
KSU −11.5open KSU −13.5
–
–

Late night 3 games

Final
8.4%
92%
78
102
✓
SDSU −15.2
SDSU −16.5
–
–
Final
9.8%
90%
77
89
✓
UNLV −14.2
UNLV −21.5
–
–
Final
15%
85%
71
63
✗
CBU −11.2
CBU −11.5open CBU −9.5
–
–