The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026–27 · Week 3

Slate for Monday, November 2, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 119 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Sat, Nov 7 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Tue, Nov 3

Upsets

Best games

Mon, Nov 2 · 7:30 PM ET

Hall of Fame Series · Las Vegas

#17Gonzaga#19Purdue

Final GONZ 78, PUR 72

ModelGONZ −0.4MarketGONZ −5.5

Mon, Nov 2 · 9:00 PM ET

Ohio StateBYU

Final OSU 83, BYU 94

ModelBYU −0.1MarketBYU −3.5

Mon, Nov 2 · 6:00 PM ET

#22Miami#8Florida

Final MIA 67, FLA 77

ModelFLA −3.8MarketFLA −5.5

Mon, Nov 2 · 10:00 PM ET

Hall of Fame Series · Las Vegas

UCLA#6Arizona

Final UCLA 84, ARIZ 75

ModelARIZ −6.5Market–

Mon, Nov 2 · 5:30 PM ET

Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon

UABMcNeese

Final UAB 78, MCN 99

ModelMCN −2.7MarketMCN −3.5

Mon, Nov 2 · 11:59 PM ET

Seattle UHawai'i

Final SEA 73, HAW 74

ModelHAW −2.5MarketHAW −1.5

Mon, Nov 2 · 8:00 PM ET

ToledoArkansas State

Final TOL 70, ARST 71

ModelARST −3.4MarketARST −3.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

Mon, Nov 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Early 5 games

Final
Field of 68 Opening Day MarathonGramblingvsNorthern Illinois
53%
46%
89
87
✓
GRAM −1.0
GRAM −8.5open NIU −5.5
–
–
Final
Field of 68 Opening Day MarathonApp StatevsMerrimack
47%
53%
63
49
✗
MRMK −0.8
APP −3.5open MRMK −3.5
Dog pick: MRMK
–
Final
Field of 68 Opening Day MarathonWinthropvsQueens University
53%
47%
98
103
✗
WIN −0.9
QUC −3.5open QUC −1.5
Dog pick: WIN
–
Final
Murray StatevsTennessee State
66%
34%
94
64
✓
MUR −4.4
MUR −9.5open MUR −8.5
–
–
Final
Northern KentuckyvsUTEP
58%
42%
84
76
✓
NKU −2.2
NKU −4.5open NKU −2.5
–
–

Afternoon 11 games

Final
UTSA@San José State
27%
73%
74
95
✓
SJSU −6.7
SJSU −8.5open SJSU −7.5
–
–
Final
UMBC@George Mason
12%
88%
54
82
✓
GMU −13.2
GMU −19.5open GMU −16.5
–
–
Final
Field of 68 Opening Day MarathonUABvsMcNeese
40%
60%
78
99
✓
MCN −2.7
MCN −3.5
–
–
Final
Oakland@#1Michigan
0.5%
>99%
68
84
✓
MICH −28.3
MICH −27.5open MICH −28.5
–
–
Final
#22Miamivs#8Florida
37%
63%
67
77
✓
FLA −3.8
FLA −5.5
–
–
Final
Pepperdine@Cornell
21%
79%
85
86
✓
COR −8.9
PEPP −3.5open PEPP −1.5
Dog pick: COR
–
Final
Bowling Green@Georgia State
52%
48%
76
73
✓
BGSU −0.6
GAST −3.5
Dog pick: BGSU
–
Final
Army@#2Duke
0.1%
>99%
50
84
✓
DUKE −34.0
DUKE −44.5open DUKE −42.5
–
–
Final
Monmouth@#21St. John's
3.5%
96%
63
78
✓
SJU −19.9
SJU −27.5
–
–
Final
Loyola Maryland@Georgetown
6.1%
94%
58
80
✓
GTWN −17.0
GTWN −26.5open GTWN −24.5
–
–
Final
Central Connecticut@Temple
16%
84%
56
68
✓
TEM −10.8
TEM −14.5open TEM −15.5
–
–

Evening 90 games

Final
Memphisvs#3Iowa StateUpset
8.5%
92%
80
76
✗
ISU −15.1
ISU −15.5open ISU −13.5
–
–
Final
Jackson State@#10Texas Tech
0.5%
>99%
42
76
✓
TTU −28.7
TTU −37.5open TTU −33.5
–
–
Final
Quinnipiac@#11Michigan State
1.6%
98%
59
96
✓
MSU −23.6
MSU −30.5open MSU −29.5
–
–
Final
Bellarmine@#16Vanderbilt
0.8%
99%
47
93
✓
VAN −26.4
VAN −35.5open VAN −33.5
–
–
Final
American University@#20Cincinnati
3.3%
97%
53
79
✓
CIN −20.3
CIN −25.5open CIN −24.5
–
–
Final
Western Carolina@North Carolina
3.7%
96%
72
80
✓
UNC −19.7
UNC −21.5open UNC −22.5
–
–
Final
Stetson@Clemson
2.0%
98%
72
85
✓
CLEM −22.7
CLEM −22.5open CLEM −26.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Illinois@Indiana
1.2%
99%
57
91
✓
IU −24.9
IU −34.5
–
–
Final
Little Rock@VCU
2.8%
97%
72
82
✓
VCU −21.0
VCU −19.5open VCU −20.5
–
–
Final
Niagara@West Virginia
1.3%
99%
46
91
✓
WVU −24.6
WVU −28.5
–
–
Final
Charleston Southern@South Florida
3.7%
96%
71
98
✓
USF −19.7
USF −21.5open USF −19.5
–
–
Final
Florida Gulf Coast@UCF
5.8%
94%
95
96
✓
UCF −17.3
UCF −22.5
–
–
Final
New Haven@Syracuse
2.6%
97%
58
74
✓
SYR −21.5
SYR −27.5
–
–
Final
Maine@Providence
2.9%
97%
56
83
✓
PROV −20.8
PROV −31.5open PROV −28.5
–
–
Final
Bucknell@Maryland
2.8%
97%
67
96
✓
MD −21.1
MD −31.5
–
–
Final
Mount St. Mary's@Xavier
6.0%
94%
52
97
✓
XAV −17.1
XAV −26.5
–
–
Final
NJIT@Dayton
4.3%
96%
58
89
✓
DAY −18.8
DAY −23.5
–
–
Final
Rider@Pittsburgh
2.3%
98%
57
95
✓
PITT −21.9
PITT −27.5
–
–
Final
Lafayette@Butler
5.2%
95%
60
96
✓
BUT −17.9
BUT −19.5open BUT −21.5
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@James Madison
62%
38%
86
77
✓
M-OH −3.4
JMU −1.5open M-OH −1.5
Dog pick: M-OH
–
Final
Howard@Yale
23%
77%
62
72
✓
YALE −8.0
YALE −6.5open YALE −5.5
–
–
Final
Long Island University@Florida Atlantic
15%
85%
60
74
✓
FAU −11.5
FAU −11.5open FAU −10.5
–
–
Final
UNC Asheville@Richmond
20%
80%
77
100
✓
RICH −9.2
RICH −15.5open RICH −12.5
–
–
Final
Massachusetts@Troy
26%
74%
71
60
✗
TROY −7.0
TROY −2.5
–
–
Final
St. Thomas-Minnesota@Presbyterian
50%
50%
87
78
✗
PK
STMN −3.5open STMN −2.5
–
–
Final
Air Force@Wright State
14%
86%
71
102
✓
WRST −12.0
WRST −12.5open WRST −9.5
–
–
Final
Youngstown State@St. Bonaventure
28%
72%
79
71
✗
SBU −6.3
SBU −10.5open SBU −9.5
–
–
Final
Elon@Columbia
27%
73%
84
71
✗
COLU −6.8
COLU −3.5open COLU −2.5
–
–
Final
Dartmouth@Marist
29%
72%
69
62
✗
MRST −6.3
MRST −6.5
–
–
Final
Vermont@Iona
41%
59%
55
56
✓
IONA −2.6
UVM −1.5open IONA −1.5
Dog pick: IONA
–
Final
Charlotte@Indiana State
39%
61%
78
70
✗
INST −3.1
CLT −5.5open CLT −3.5
Dog pick: INST
–
Final
Buffalo@Marshall
36%
64%
65
92
✓
MRSH −4.1
MRSH −2.5
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Old Dominion
44%
56%
49
61
✓
ODU −1.8
WMU −1.5open ODU −1.5
Dog pick: ODU
–
Final
New Hampshire@BrownUpset
22%
78%
59
55
✗
BRWN −8.6
BRWN −8.5open BRWN −9.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Coastal Carolina
43%
57%
71
70
✗
CCU −2.0
CCU −1.5open EMU −1.5
–
–
Final
Ball State@Georgia Southern
45%
55%
55
67
✓
GASO −1.5
BALL −2.5open BALL −1.5
Dog pick: GASO
–
Final
South Carolina Upstate@East Carolina
26%
74%
70
83
✓
ECU −7.2
ECU −14.5open ECU −12.5
–
–
Final
Northeastern@Boston University
35%
65%
85
93
✓
BU −4.3
BU −1.5open NE −1.5
–
–
Final
Hall of Fame Series · Las Vegas#17Gonzagavs#19Purdue
52%
48%
78
72
✓
GONZ −0.4
GONZ −5.5open GONZ −4.5
–
–
Final
Le Moyne@#18Nebraska
0.5%
>99%
64
106
✓
NEB −28.2
NEB −34.5
–
–
Final
Campbell@NC State
2.8%
97%
64
83
✓
NCSU −21.0
NCSU −24.5open NCSU −23.5
–
–
Final
Denver@Wisconsin
3.2%
97%
68
75
✓
WIS −20.3
WIS −24.5open WIS −22.5
–
–
Final
North Carolina Central@Georgia
0.8%
99%
62
78
✓
UGA −26.5
UGA −40.5open UGA −35.5
–
–
Final
Mercyhurst@Marquette
3.1%
97%
43
78
✓
MARQ −20.5
MARQ −31.5open MARQ −30.5
–
–
Final
Saint Peter's@Seton Hall
6.0%
94%
42
66
✓
HALL −17.1
HALL −20.5open HALL −21.5
–
–
Final
Tennessee Tech@Mississippi State
6.0%
94%
88
106
✓
MSST −17.1
MSST −18.5
–
–
Final
Navy@George Washington
22%
78%
39
91
✓
GW −8.6
GW −18.5open GW −15.5
–
–
Final
Southern Indiana@Belmont
5.8%
94%
54
72
✓
BEL −17.3
BEL −17.5open BEL −15.5
–
–
Final
Canisius@Penn State
4.3%
96%
57
97
✓
PSU −18.9
PSU −23.5open PSU −22.5
–
–
Final
Morehead State@Western Kentucky
14%
86%
58
83
✓
WKU −12.1
WKU −17.5open WKU −16.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Louisiana Tech
52%
48%
75
85
✗
KENT −0.6
KENT −5.5
–
–
Final
Lipscomb@Southeast Missouri State
48%
52%
79
86
✓
SEMO −0.6
LIP −2.5open LIP −1.5
Dog pick: SEMO
–
Final
Central Michigan@UL Monroe
64%
36%
83
78
✓
CMU −4.0
CMU −2.5
–
–
Final
Fairleigh Dickinson@#7Illinois
0.2%
>99%
45
120
✓
ILL −31.7
ILL −39.5
–
–
Final
Fordham@#12Kansas
4.4%
96%
65
95
✓
KU −18.8
KU −22.5
–
–
Final
East Texas A&M@OklahomaUpset
1.2%
99%
68
64
✗
OU −25.0
OU −31.5open OU −30.5
–
–
Final
Southern@SMU
3.2%
97%
72
85
✓
SMU −20.3
SMU −25.5open SMU −26.5
–
–
Final
Lehigh@Saint Louis
5.0%
95%
67
92
✓
SLU −18.1
SLU −24.5open SLU −23.5
–
–
Final
Kansas City@Creighton
1.0%
99%
61
76
✓
CREI −25.8
CREI −26.5
–
–
Final
Binghamton@Northwestern
2.0%
98%
60
86
✓
NU −22.6
NU −19.5open NU −23.5
–
–
Final
Lindenwood@TCU
5.0%
95%
59
98
✓
TCU −18.1
TCU −29.5open TCU −28.5
–
–
Final
Maryland Eastern Shore@Wake Forest
2.1%
98%
62
83
✓
WAKE −22.5
WAKE −32.5open WAKE −31.5
–
–
Final
Akron@Louisiana
80%
20%
75
61
✓
AKR −9.1
AKR −5.5
–
–
Final
West Georgia@DePaul
5.7%
94%
58
75
✓
DEP −17.4
DEP −25.5open DEP −23.5
–
–
Final
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi@Texas State
28%
72%
55
67
✓
TXST −6.4
TXST −10.5open TXST −9.5
–
–
Final
Toledo@Arkansas State
38%
62%
70
71
✓
ARST −3.4
ARST −3.5
–
–
Final
Field of 68 Opening Day MarathonFurmanvsBethune-Cookman
60%
40%
79
70
✓
FUR −2.8
FUR −4.5
–
–
Final
Western Illinois@Valparaiso
4.7%
95%
58
80
✓
VAL −18.4
VAL −18.5
–
–
Final
Ohio@South Alabama
44%
56%
86
77
✗
USA −1.5
USA −1.5open OHIO −1.5
–
–
Final
UT Martin@Tulane
28%
72%
98
100
✓
TULN −6.5
TULN −5.5open TULN −9.5
–
–
Final
Siena@Bryant
58%
42%
75
80
✗
SIE −2.3
SIE −4.5open BRY −2.5
–
–
Final
The Citadel@Loyola Chicago
16%
84%
52
77
✓
LUC −11.0
LUC −14.5open LUC −16.5
–
–
Final
Alcorn State@Ole Miss
0.9%
99%
58
99
✓
MISS −26.1
MISS −30.5
–
–
Final
Florida A&MvsFlorida State
7.2%
93%
69
112
✓
FSU −16.1
FSU −28.5open FSU −24.5
–
–
Final
Oral Roberts@Central Arkansas
21%
79%
55
85
✓
CARK −8.7
CARK −8.5
–
–
Final
La Salle@#5Houston
0.9%
99%
55
94
✓
HOU −25.8
HOU −29.5open HOU −27.5
–
–
Final
Gardner-Webb@#9UConn
0.1%
>99%
46
86
✓
CONN −34.3
CONN −41.5open CONN −38.5
–
–
Final
Chattanooga@#14Louisville
1.2%
99%
70
84
✓
LOU −25.0
LOU −30.5open LOU −29.5
–
–
Final
Chicago State@#24Texas
0.4%
>99%
59
109
✓
TEX −29.5
TEX −40.5
–
–
Final
Ohio StatevsBYU
50%
50%
83
94
✓
BYU −0.1
BYU −3.5open BYU −2.5
–
–
Final
Incarnate Word@Oklahoma State
3.4%
97%
60
91
✓
OKST −20.1
OKST −27.5
–
–
Final
Texas Southern@Grand Canyon
2.1%
98%
79
103
✓
GCU −22.5
GCU −28.5open GCU −27.5
–
–
Final
Utah Tech@New Mexico
9.0%
91%
60
100
✓
UNM −14.7
UNM −23.5open UNM −20.5
–
–
Final
Abilene Christian@Colorado
8.1%
92%
59
94
✓
COLO −15.4
COLO −18.5open COLO −17.5
–
–
Final
North Dakota@Minnesota
6.6%
93%
50
85
✓
MINN −16.6
MINN −26.5
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Utah
11%
89%
63
66
✓
UTAH −13.5
UTAH −19.5open UTAH −20.5
–
–
Final
Davidson@Washington State
49%
51%
76
61
✗
WSU −0.3
WSU −2.5open WSU −3.5
–
–
Final
Idaho State@Utah State
1.9%
98%
58
94
✓
USU −22.7
USU −26.5open USU −27.5
–
–
Final
Northwestern State@Baylor
2.1%
98%
65
87
✓
BAY −22.5
BAY −31.5open BAY −30.5
–
–
Final
Weber State@Oregon State
18%
82%
61
102
✓
ORST −10.1
ORST −17.5
–
–

Late night 13 games

Final
Hall of Fame Series · Las VegasUCLAvs#6ArizonaUpset
28%
72%
84
75
✗
ARIZ −6.5
–
–
–
Final
Illinois State@Saint Mary's
21%
79%
85
90
✓
SMC −8.9
SMC −6.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Washington@Stanford
6.9%
93%
65
74
✓
STAN −16.3
STAN −14.5
–
–
Final
Colgate@Washington
9.8%
90%
76
90
✓
WASH −14.3
WASH −14.5
–
–
Final
East Tennessee State@Arizona State
19%
81%
65
75
✓
ASU −9.6
ASU −19.5open ASU −17.5
–
–
Final
Montana@Oregon
9.9%
90%
69
87
✓
ORE −14.2
ORE −19.5open ORE −16.5
–
–
Final
Towson@Santa Clara
15%
85%
70
89
✓
SCU −11.2
SCU −14.5open SCU −13.5
–
–
Final
Robert Morris@Nevada
20%
80%
49
86
✓
NEV −9.4
NEV −12.5
–
–
Final
Montana State@Colorado State
21%
79%
74
84
✓
CSU −8.9
CSU −10.5
–
–
Final
Radford@San Francisco
24%
76%
62
76
✓
SF −7.8
SF −15.5open SF −9.5
–
–
Final
North Alabama@UC DavisUpset
15%
85%
79
75
✗
UCD −11.2
UCD −9.5
–
–
Final
Milwaukee@USC
3.3%
97%
63
95
✓
USC −20.3
USC −26.5open USC −25.5
–
–
Final
Seattle U@Hawai'i
41%
59%
73
74
✓
HAW −2.5
HAW −1.5
–
–