Slate for Tuesday, November 10, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 57 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Sat, Nov 7 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Tue, Nov 3 · Mon, Nov 2

Best games

Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET

Champions Classic

#10Michigan State#1Duke

Final MSU 79, DUKE 73

ModelDUKE −6.1MarketDUKE −7.5

Tue, Nov 10 · 8:00 PM ET

#4Illinois#16Texas Tech

Final ILL 78, TTU 84

ModelILL −2.2MarketILL −2.5

Tue, Nov 10 · 9:30 PM ET

Champions Classic

Kentucky#8Kansas

Final UK 69, KU 89

ModelKU −8.5MarketKU −4.5

Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET

Bad Boy Mowers Series

Virginia TechIowa

Final VT 93, IOWA 88

ModelIOWA −4.8MarketIOWA −4.5

Tue, Nov 10 · 6:00 PM ET

#6FloridaFlorida State

Final FLA 81, FSU 72

ModelFLA −10.8MarketFLA −9.5

Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET

Wright StateToledo

Final WRST 76, TOL 68

ModelWRST −0.1MarketWRST −1.5

Tue, Nov 10 · 9:00 PM ET

CreightonKansas State

Final CREI 82, KSU 89

ModelCREI −5.8MarketCREI −3.5

Tue, Nov 10 · 7:15 PM ET

Memphis#11Vanderbilt

Final MEM 81, VAN 105

ModelVAN −18.6MarketVAN −13.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

No games match.

Tue, Nov 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Afternoon 3 games

Final

#6Florida@Florida State

84%
16%

81
72

✓

FLA −10.8

FLA −9.5

–

–

Final

Delaware State@Georgetown

0.6%
99%

78
83

✓

GTWN −27.6

GTWN −29.5open GTWN −27.5

–

–

Final

NJIT@Rutgers

0.7%
99%

64
101

✓

RUTG −27.2

RUTG −24.5

–

–

Evening 52 games

Final

Champions Classic#10Michigan Statevs#1Duke

29%
71%

79
73

✗

DUKE −6.1

DUKE −7.5open DUKE −6.5

–

–

Final

Bad Boy Mowers SeriesVirginia TechvsIowa

33%
67%

93
88

✗

IOWA −4.8

IOWA −4.5open IOWA −3.5

–

–

Final

Wyoming@North Carolina

6.0%
94%

63
76

✓

UNC −17.1

UNC −12.5open UNC −15.5

–

–

Final

Presbyterian@NC State

0.6%
99%

60
94

✓

NCSU −27.4

NCSU −19.5open NCSU −18.5

–

–

Final

La Salle@Villanova

1.5%
98%

59
80

✓

VILL −23.9

VILL −23.5

–

–

Final

Detroit Mercy@Xavier

0.8%
99%

55
100

✓

XAV −26.4

XAV −34.5open XAV −32.5

–

–

Final

Bryant@Providence

0.4%
>99%

55
78

✓

PROV −29.4

PROV −30.5open PROV −28.5

–

–

Final

South Alabama@UCF

3.2%
97%

69
76

✓

UCF −20.4

UCF −13.5open UCF −17.5

–

–

Final

Charleston Southern@Wake Forest

2.7%
97%

64
82

✓

WAKE −21.1

WAKE −18.5

–

–

Final

Elon@George Washington

9.0%
91%

50
69

✓

GW −14.7

GW −13.5open GW −14.5

–

–

Final

Siena@DaytonUpset

9.8%
90%

99
89

✗

DAY −14.2

DAY −13.5open DAY −12.5

–

–

Final

Maryland Eastern Shore@Boston College

1.1%
99%

54
82

✓

BC −25.2

BC −26.5open BC −25.5

–

–

Final

Maine@Rhode Island

1.8%
98%

65
71

✓

URI −23.2

URI −20.5open URI −18.5

–

–

Final

Wright State@Toledo

50%
50%

76
68

✓

WRST −0.1

WRST −1.5open WRST −2.5

–

–

Final

Bradley@Davidson

20%
80%

45
62

✓

DAV −9.3

DAV −10.5open DAV −12.5

–

–

Final

Eastern Kentucky@Georgia Tech

9.5%
90%

71
85

✓

GT −14.4

GT −15.5open GT −16.5

–

–

Final

Iona@Fordham

17%
83%

72
78

✓

FOR −10.5

FOR −11.5open FOR −12.5

–

–

Final

Winthrop@Kennesaw State

21%
79%

79
88

✓

KENN −8.8

KENN −10.5open KENN −9.5

–

–

Final

Harvard@Northeastern

74%
26%

70
74

✗

HARV −7.3

HARV −1.5open HARV −2.5

–

–

Final

Loyola Marymount@Troy

43%
57%

69
74

✓

TROY −1.9

LMU −1.5

Dog pick: TROY

–

Final

Washington State@Duquesne

30%
70%

71
72

✓

DUQ −5.7

DUQ −3.5open DUQ −6.5

–

–

Final

Youngstown State@Central Michigan

54%
46%

78
91

✗

YSU −1.1

CMU −3.5open CMU −2.5

Dog pick: YSU

–

Final

Mercer@Georgia Southern

56%
44%

97
91

✓

MER −1.6

GASO −1.5

Dog pick: MER

–

Final

Army@New Haven

57%
43%

55
63

✗

ARMY −1.8

ARMY −1.5

–

–

Final

Memphis@#11Vanderbilt

4.6%
95%

81
105

✓

VAN −18.6

VAN −13.5open VAN −16.5

–

–

Final

Texas State@UT Rio Grande Valley

64%
36%

72
65

✓

TXST −3.9

TXST −4.5open TXST −7.5

–

–

Final

Evansville@Middle Tennessee

12%
88%

68
73

✓

MTSU −12.8

MTSU −9.5open MTSU −8.5

–

–

Final

Nicholls@Tulane

39%
61%

63
77

✓

TULN −3.2

TULN −9.5

–

–

Final

#4Illinois@#16Texas Tech

58%
42%

78
84

✗

ILL −2.2

ILL −2.5open ILL −1.5

–

–

Final

Southern@#7Iowa State

<0.1%
>99%

47
84

✓

ISU −40.0

ISU −35.5open ISU −34.5

–

–

Final

Yale@Baylor

8.9%
91%

61
90

✓

BAY −14.8

BAY −19.5open BAY −22.5

–

–

Final

Northern Kentucky@Saint Louis

2.1%
98%

63
125

✓

SLU −22.3

SLU −23.5

–

–

Final

Prairie View A&M@SMU

0.3%
>99%

63
98

✓

SMU −30.5

SMU −26.5open SMU −24.5

–

–

Final

Alcorn State@Murray State

0.4%
>99%

57
94

✓

MUR −28.9

MUR −30.5open MUR −25.5

–

–

Final

Belmont@Lipscomb

69%
31%

75
88

✗

BEL −5.3

BEL −4.5

–

–

Final

Green Bay@Northern Iowa

22%
78%

76
89

✓

UNI −8.5

UNI −3.5

–

–

Final

UT Martin@Arkansas StateUpset

16%
84%

82
65

✗

ARST −11.1

ARST −4.5open ARST −7.5

–

–

Final

Houston Christian@South Dakota

40%
60%

87
76

✗

SDAK −2.7

SDAK −3.5open SDAK −2.5

–

–

Final

SE Louisiana@Ole Miss

0.4%
>99%

51
91

✓

MISS −28.8

MISS −25.5

–

–

Final

Fairfield@Wisconsin

1.2%
99%

42
89

✓

WIS −24.7

WIS −25.5open WIS −22.5

–

–

Final

Northern Arizona@#13Arizona

<0.1%
>99%

59
90

✓

ARIZ −40.2

ARIZ −36.5

–

–

Final

Bucknell@#19Virginia

<0.1%
>99%

61
95

✓

UVA −43.4

UVA −38.5open UVA −37.5

–

–

Final

Queens University@#21BYU

0.6%
99%

82
98

✓

BYU −27.6

BYU −29.5open BYU −27.5

–

–

Final

Utah Tech@Utah State

0.8%
99%

86
118

✓

USU −26.6

USU −27.5open USU −26.5

–

–

Final

UL Monroe@TCU

<0.1%
>99%

92
100

✓

TCU −39.2

TCU −34.5open TCU −33.5

–

–

Final

Little Rock@New Mexico

0.9%
99%

69
94

✓

UNM −26.1

UNM −22.5open UNM −21.5

–

–

Final

Creighton@Kansas State

70%
30%

82
89

✗

CREI −5.8

CREI −3.5

–

–

Final

Hofstra@Arizona State

12%
88%

63
85

✓

ASU −13.0

ASU −18.5open ASU −16.5

–

–

Final

San Diego@Colorado

4.5%
96%

75
83

✓

COLO −18.7

COLO −12.5open COLO −13.5

–

–

Final

Weber State@Utah

6.3%
94%

64
85

✓

UTAH −16.9

UTAH −16.5open UTAH −18.5

–

–

Final

Georgia State@Fresno State

40%
60%

92
95

✓

FRES −2.7

FRES −5.5open FRES −6.5

–

–

Final

Champions ClassicKentuckyvs#8Kansas

22%
78%

69
89

✓

KU −8.5

KU −4.5open KU −5.5

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Montana@San Francisco

24%
76%

58
63

✓

SF −7.7

SF −13.5open SF −10.5

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

TBD

Penn State@Lafayette

91%
9.0%

PSU −14.7

–

–

–