The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026–27 · Week 3

Slate for Saturday, November 7, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 48 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Tue, Nov 3 · Mon, Nov 2

Upsets

Best games

Sat, Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET

Bill Walton Classic

ColoradoSan Diego State

Final COLO 66, SDSU 77

ModelSDSU −0.6MarketSDSU −3.5

Sat, Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET

VCUMemphis

Final VCU 88, MEM 89

ModelVCU −1.1MarketVCU −2.5

Sat, Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET

MarylandGeorgetown

Final MD 74, GTWN 86

ModelMD −1.2MarketMD −3.5

Sat, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ET

Hall of Fame Tip-Off

#15NebraskaProvidence

Final NEB 67, PROV 58

ModelNEB −12.1MarketNEB −2.5

Sat, Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET

Northern IowaFurman

Final UNI 83, FUR 98

ModelUNI −2.1MarketFUR −4.5

Sat, Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ET

ToledoMarshall

Final TOL 81, MRSH 76

ModelMRSH −0.7MarketMRSH −1.5

Sat, Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET

Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off

MonmouthRhode Island

Final MONM 66, URI 84

ModelURI −4.6MarketURI −6.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

Sat, Nov 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Early 8 games

Final
Morehead State@#18Louisville
<0.1%
>99%
57
107
✓
LOU −39.8
LOU −37.5open LOU −36.5
–
–
Final
North Dakota@WinthropUpset
12%
88%
93
90
✗
WIN −13.2
WIN −9.5
–
–
Final
North Carolina A&T@Ohio
15%
86%
70
80
✓
OHIO −11.7
OHIO −14.5open OHIO −12.5
–
–
Final
UNC Wilmington@East Carolina
70%
30%
78
75
✓
UNCW −5.7
UNCW −5.5open UNCW −3.5
–
–
Final
Toledo@Marshall
48%
52%
81
76
✗
MRSH −0.7
MRSH −1.5open MRSH −2.5
–
–
Final
Colgate@Drexel
50%
50%
74
77
✓
DREX −0.1
COLG −1.5open DREX −1.5
Dog pick: DREX
–
Final
Lamar@Abilene Christian
50%
50%
81
83
✓
PK
LAM −1.5open ACU −2.5
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@South Dakota
43%
57%
87
85
✗
SDAK −2.0
SDAK −1.5
–
–

Afternoon 23 games

Final
VCU@Memphis
54%
46%
88
89
✗
VCU −1.1
VCU −2.5open MEM −1.5
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Montana State
11%
89%
70
83
✓
MTST −13.5
MTST −10.5
–
–
Final
North Carolina Central@Longwood
11%
89%
75
80
✓
LONG −13.6
LONG −12.5open LONG −11.5
–
–
Final
Bill Walton ClassicColoradovsSan Diego State
48%
52%
66
77
✓
SDSU −0.6
SDSU −3.5open SDSU −2.5
–
–
Final
Long Island University@La Salle
31%
69%
80
88
✓
LAS −5.5
LAS −4.5
–
–
Final
Omaha@Utah State
0.3%
>99%
56
90
✓
USU −30.5
USU −29.5open USU −26.5
–
–
Final
Samford@UNLV
21%
79%
79
88
✓
UNLV −9.0
UNLV −11.5
–
–
Final
Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-OffMonmouthvsRhode Island
34%
66%
66
84
✓
URI −4.6
URI −6.5
–
–
Final
Lafayette@Saint Joseph's
4.5%
96%
57
67
✓
JOES −18.6
JOES −16.5open JOES −17.5
–
–
Final
Oakland@UC Santa Barbara
29%
71%
67
90
✓
UCSB −6.0
UCSB −13.5open UCSB −11.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@#13Gonzaga
0.2%
>99%
68
109
✓
GONZ −31.1
GONZ −29.5open GONZ −27.5
–
–
Final
Washington State@High Point
2.0%
98%
71
83
✓
HPU −22.7
HPU −13.5open HPU −11.5
–
–
Final
Bellarmine@Miami (OH)
2.5%
98%
73
80
✓
M-OH −21.6
M-OH −20.5
–
–
Final
Northern Iowa@Furman
58%
42%
83
98
✗
UNI −2.1
FUR −4.5
Dog pick: UNI
–
Final
SIU Edwardsville@Lipscomb
29%
71%
77
78
✓
LIP −6.0
LIP −8.5open LIP −5.5
–
–
Final
Old Dominion@Bucknell
70%
30%
82
62
✓
ODU −5.6
ODU −5.5open ODU −4.5
–
–
Final
UT Martin@IU Indianapolis
57%
43%
74
75
✗
UTM −2.0
UTM −1.5
–
–
Final
VMI@UTSA
34%
66%
68
70
✓
UTSA −4.4
UTSA −5.5
–
–
Final
Western Carolina@UNC Asheville
60%
40%
83
75
✓
WCU −2.7
WCU −3.5open WCU −2.5
–
–
Final
Prairie View A&M@UT Rio Grande Valley
11%
89%
63
68
✓
RGV −13.7
RGV −8.5
–
–
Final
Northern Arizona@New Mexico
0.5%
>99%
65
94
✓
UNM −28.3
UNM −27.5open UNM −25.5
–
–
Final
Hampton@George Washington
3.4%
97%
61
75
✓
GW −20.0
GW −18.5open GW −19.5
–
–
Final
Morgan State@Niagara
44%
56%
73
67
✗
NIA −1.6
NIA −3.5
–
–

Evening 13 games

Final
Hall of Fame Tip-Off#15NebraskavsProvidence
86%
14%
67
58
✓
NEB −12.1
NEB −2.5open NEB −4.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@DaytonUpset
0.5%
>99%
81
76
✗
DAY −28.1
DAY −19.5
–
–
Final
Mercer@Davidson
15%
85%
76
88
✓
DAV −11.5
DAV −11.5open DAV −10.5
–
–
Final
St. Bonaventure@Canisius
87%
13%
88
49
✓
SBU −12.4
SBU −9.5
–
–
Final
Western IllinoisvsHouston Christian
11%
89%
67
74
✓
HCU −13.4
HCU −9.5
–
–
Final
Maryland@Georgetown
54%
46%
74
86
✗
MD −1.2
MD −3.5open GTWN −1.5
–
–
Final
Denver@UC Riverside
52%
48%
60
64
✗
DEN −0.6
UCR −2.5open UCR −1.5
Dog pick: DEN
–
Final
Bethune-Cookman@Grand Canyon
2.3%
98%
81
99
✓
GCU −22.0
GCU −22.5open GCU −21.5
–
–
Final
Northwestern State@Murray State
2.9%
97%
71
93
✓
MUR −20.9
MUR −23.5open MUR −21.5
–
–
Final
Pacific@Bradley
30%
70%
63
52
✗
BRAD −5.8
BRAD −1.5
–
–
Final
SE Louisiana@Little Rock
27%
73%
83
79
✗
LR −6.7
LR −10.5open LR −5.5
–
–
Final
Southern Indiana@Evansville
31%
69%
76
78
✓
EVAN −5.3
EVAN −7.5open EVAN −9.5
–
–
Final
Utah Valley@Weber State
82%
18%
101
93
✓
UVU −10.2
UVU −7.5
–
–

Late night 4 games

Final
Sacramento State@Santa Clara
2.5%
98%
77
83
✓
SCU −21.6
SCU −19.5open SCU −18.5
–
–
Final
Fresno State@UC San Diego
10%
90%
65
81
✓
UCSD −13.8
UCSD −10.5open UCSD −9.5
–
–
Final
Portland State@Seattle U
18%
82%
60
79
✓
SEA −9.9
SEA −10.5
–
–
Final
San José State@UC Irvine
14%
86%
79
91
✓
UCI −12.1
UCI −8.5open UCI −7.5
–
–