The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026–27 · Week 3

Slate for Friday, November 6, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 59 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Mon, Nov 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Sat, Nov 7 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Tue, Nov 3 · Mon, Nov 2

Upsets

Best games

Fri, Nov 6 · 8:00 PM ET

Hall of Fame Series · Boston

#2Michigan#11UConn

Final MICH 77, CONN 85

ModelMICH −6.6Market–

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:00 PM ET

MissouriSaint Louis

Final MIZ 84, SLU 90

ModelMIZ −1.1MarketMIZ −2.5

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:00 PM ET

YaleUCF

Final YALE 75, UCF 87

ModelUCF −7.5MarketUCF −9.5

Fri, Nov 6 · 4:00 PM ET

Hall of Fame Series · Boston

MassachusettsBoston College

Final MASS 55, BC 71

ModelBC −5.6MarketBC −5.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

Fri, Nov 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Afternoon 8 games

Final
Hall of Fame Series · BostonMassachusettsvsBoston College
31%
69%
55
71
✓
BC −5.6
BC −5.5
–
–
Final
Northeastern@Virginia
0.1%
>99%
72
97
✓
UVA −33.2
UVA −34.5open UVA −33.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas-Pine Bluff@Baylor
<0.1%
>99%
53
109
✓
BAY −36.5
BAY −37.5open BAY −36.5
–
–
Final
West Florida@Florida International
2.9%
97%
75
85
✓
FIU −20.9
FIU −16.5open FIU −14.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Washington@Oregon
4.4%
96%
71
98
✓
ORE −18.8
ORE −16.5open ORE −15.5
–
–
Final
Valparaiso@#19PurdueUpset
0.6%
99%
83
80
✗
PUR −28.0
PUR −19.5
–
–
Final
Youngstown State@Ohio State
1.3%
99%
65
89
✓
OSU −24.6
OSU −25.5
–
–
Final
South Carolina State@South Carolina Upstate
32%
68%
78
70
✗
UPST −5.1
UPST −4.5open UPST −7.5
–
–

Evening 48 games

Final
James Madison@Kentucky
0.6%
99%
80
89
✓
UK −27.9
UK −25.5
–
–
Final
East Tennessee State@NC State
3.2%
97%
63
77
✓
NCSU −20.4
NCSU −17.5open NCSU −16.5
–
–
Final
Wofford@North Carolina
0.9%
99%
70
109
✓
UNC −26.1
UNC −21.5open UNC −22.5
–
–
Final
Holy Cross@Villanova
0.1%
>99%
66
95
✓
VILL −35.9
VILL −34.5open VILL −31.5
–
–
Final
MissourivsSaint Louis
54%
46%
84
90
✗
MIZ −1.1
MIZ −2.5
–
–
Final
American University@Clemson
2.3%
98%
73
82
✓
CLEM −21.9
CLEM −15.5open CLEM −17.5
–
–
Final
Stetson@West Virginia
0.4%
>99%
53
91
✓
WVU −29.6
WVU −28.5open WVU −24.5
–
–
Final
Presbyterian@Georgia
1.0%
99%
77
91
✓
UGA −25.4
UGA −25.5open UGA −21.5
–
–
Final
Troy@Florida State
4.9%
95%
68
91
✓
FSU −18.3
FSU −23.5open FSU −20.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Xavier
2.9%
97%
53
76
✓
XAV −20.9
XAV −23.5open XAV −20.5
–
–
Final
Coppin State@George Mason
0.1%
>99%
51
68
✓
GMU −35.1
GMU −28.5open GMU −26.5
–
–
Final
Yale@UCF
25%
75%
75
87
✓
UCF −7.5
UCF −9.5open UCF −8.5
–
–
Final
New Haven@Rutgers
2.7%
97%
54
81
✓
RUTG −21.2
RUTG −25.5open RUTG −24.5
–
–
Final
Georgia Southern@Georgia Tech
8.0%
92%
83
95
✓
GT −15.4
GT −18.5open GT −16.5
–
–
Final
Austin Peay@Kennesaw State
32%
68%
69
71
✓
KENN −5.1
KENN −5.5open KENN −6.5
–
–
Final
UNC Greensboro@Elon
24%
76%
65
74
✓
ELON −7.9
ELON −9.5open ELON −7.5
–
–
Final
Indiana State@Ball State
44%
56%
69
66
✗
BALL −1.8
BALL −2.5
–
–
Final
Boston University@Brown
38%
62%
72
67
✗
BRWN −3.3
BRWN −1.5open BRWN −5.5
–
–
Final
Loyola Maryland@Mount St. Mary's
33%
67%
57
68
✓
MSM −4.8
MSM −6.5open MSM −5.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@#14Alabama
0.4%
>99%
86
101
✓
ALA −29.2
ALA −25.5
–
–
Final
Delaware@Wisconsin
0.4%
>99%
64
73
✓
WIS −28.8
WIS −25.5open WIS −24.5
–
–
Final
Florida Atlantic@Wright State
47%
53%
71
97
✓
WRST −0.7
WRST −3.5open WRST −2.5
–
–
Final
Nicholls@UAB
19%
81%
63
70
✓
UAB −9.5
UAB −15.5open UAB −13.5
–
–
Final
Hall of Fame Series · Boston#2Michiganvs#11UConn
72%
28%
77
85
✗
MICH −6.6
–
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#6Iowa State
<0.1%
>99%
57
83
✓
ISU −36.8
ISU −30.5
–
–
Final
Northern Kentucky@Texas A&M
2.0%
98%
67
104
✓
TA&M −22.6
TA&M −27.5open TA&M −24.5
–
–
Final
Detroit Mercy@Marquette
1.2%
99%
32
93
✓
MARQ −24.8
MARQ −32.5open MARQ −30.5
–
–
Final
Southern@TCU
0.9%
99%
54
106
✓
TCU −25.9
TCU −24.5open TCU −23.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi Valley State@Oklahoma
<0.1%
>99%
57
84
✓
OU −36.6
OU −39.5open OU −38.5
–
–
Final
Stony Brook@Northwestern
2.8%
97%
65
78
✓
NU −20.9
NU −12.5open NU −14.5
–
–
Final
Texas Southern@LSU
0.6%
99%
51
92
✓
LSU −27.7
LSU −34.5open LSU −30.5
–
–
Final
St. Thomas-Minnesota@Minnesota
17%
83%
62
76
✓
MINN −10.6
MINN −14.5open MINN −15.5
–
–
Final
Robert Morris@UIC
16%
84%
56
79
✓
UIC −10.8
UIC −10.5open UIC −11.5
–
–
Final
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi@Louisiana
64%
36%
67
60
✓
AMCC −3.9
UL −3.5open UL −2.5
Dog pick: AMCC
–
Final
Eastern Illinois@Iowa
<0.1%
>99%
47
91
✓
IOWA −37.1
IOWA −35.5
–
–
Final
Central Arkansas@Ole Miss
4.7%
95%
60
92
✓
MISS −18.4
MISS −19.5
–
–
Final
Idaho State@Wyoming
4.4%
96%
62
93
✓
WYO −18.7
WYO −18.5open WYO −19.5
–
–
Final
Southern Illinois@Kansas CityUpset
90%
10%
93
100
✗
SIU −13.9
KC −1.5open SIU −3.5
Dog pick: SIU
–
Final
Middle Tennessee@#9Kansas
0.3%
>99%
45
89
✓
KU −30.7
KU −30.5open KU −27.5
–
–
Final
Omaha@#22BYU
0.1%
>99%
67
108
✓
BYU −33.8
BYU −32.5open BYU −29.5
–
–
Final
Wagner@#25Miami
<0.1%
>99%
57
83
✓
MIA −39.0
MIA −38.5open MIA −31.5
–
–
Final
Queens University@Oklahoma State
4.2%
96%
68
118
✓
OKST −19.0
OKST −18.5open OKST −19.5
–
–
Final
Northern Colorado@Arizona State
9.5%
90%
63
90
✓
ASU −14.4
ASU −19.5open ASU −15.5
–
–
Final
Idaho@Colorado State
7.8%
92%
67
78
✓
CSU −15.6
CSU −16.5open CSU −15.5
–
–
Final
Cal State Northridge@Kansas State
17%
83%
78
95
✓
KSU −10.7
KSU −10.5open KSU −9.5
–
–
Final
California Baptist@Oregon State
15%
85%
68
96
✓
ORST −11.5
ORST −20.5open ORST −16.5
–
–
Final
Tarleton State@San Diego
49%
51%
90
96
✓
USD −0.2
USD −7.5open USD −4.5
–
–
Final
Rainbow ClassicPortlandvsUT Arlington
49%
51%
85
89
✓
UTA −0.3
PORT −1.5
Dog pick: UTA
–

Late night 3 games

Final
Oakland@Stanford
7.2%
93%
63
81
✓
STAN −16.1
STAN −13.5open STAN −14.5
–
–
Final
North Dakota State@San Francisco
32%
68%
70
79
✓
SF −5.2
SF −8.5open SF −7.5
–
–
Final
North Florida@#24UCLA
0.1%
>99%
63
114
✓
UCLA −34.9
UCLA −34.5open UCLA −31.5
–
–