The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026–27 · Week 3

Slate for Monday, November 9, 2026

The day’s games as the page stood that morning, with final scores. 34 Division I games; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before tip-off.

Pre is the model’s win chance before tip-off; Live is its chance now, from the score and the time left. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict; Market is the current line, with the opener beneath it when it has moved. Tracked marks the games two betting habits would take: a dog pick, where the model has the market underdog winning outright, and a fade, against a team that keeps failing to cover. They come from a fixed rule, not a person: each one is a starting point for human judgement before any bet, never a bet on its own. The betting page keeps the rule’s record; these are tracked, not recommended.

Slates: Today · Thu, Nov 12 · Wed, Nov 11 · Tue, Nov 10 · Sun, Nov 8 · Sat, Nov 7 · Fri, Nov 6 · Thu, Nov 5 · Wed, Nov 4 · Tue, Nov 3 · Mon, Nov 2

Upsets

Best games

Mon, Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET

MinnesotaCincinnati

Final MINN 63, CIN 61

ModelCIN −5.7MarketCIN −6.5

Mon, Nov 9 · 6:30 PM ET

SyracuseIndiana

Final SYR 80, IU 83

ModelIU −6.3MarketIU −5.5

Mon, Nov 9 · 6:30 PM ET

HowardPennsylvania

Final HOW 65, PENN 78

ModelPENN −4.2MarketPENN −5.5

Mon, Nov 9 · 8:30 PM ET

Illinois State#17Purdue

Final ILST 59, PUR 76

ModelPUR −18.5MarketPUR −15.5

Mon, Nov 9 · 8:00 PM ET

Louisiana TechLSU

Final LT 50, LSU 90

ModelLSU −16.2MarketLSU −29.5

Mon, Nov 9 · 9:00 PM ET

CharlotteSeton Hall

Final CLT 62, HALL 68

ModelHALL −13.9MarketHALL −4.5

Mon, Nov 9 · 11:59 PM ET

Rainbow Classic

PortlandHawai'i

Final PORT 73, HAW 66

ModelHAW −8.8MarketHAW −7.5

Picked for quality and closeness: both teams highly rated and the model’s line within a few points. From Christmas, when bracketology starts, these become the games that move NCAA Tournament bids most. They carry a red stripe in the lists below.

Mon, Nov 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketTracked Bid stake

Afternoon 3 games

Final
Marshall@Ohio State
1.6%
98%
74
84
✓
OSU −23.6
OSU −25.5
–
–
Final
SyracusevsIndiana
28%
72%
80
83
✓
IU −6.3
IU −5.5open IU −4.5
–
–
Final
Howard@Pennsylvania
35%
65%
65
78
✓
PENN −4.2
PENN −5.5
–
–

Evening 28 games

Final
Wagner@#12UConn
<0.1%
>99%
41
83
✓
CONN −39.8
CONN −39.5open CONN −38.5
–
–
Final
Radford@#14Tennessee
0.2%
>99%
47
70
✓
TENN −31.1
TENN −30.5open TENN −28.5
–
–
Final
Grambling@#24Texas
0.1%
>99%
62
93
✓
TEX −33.3
TEX −37.5
–
–
Final
Florida Gulf Coast@Georgia
1.4%
99%
72
80
✓
UGA −24.1
UGA −22.5open UGA −24.5
–
–
Final
North Florida@Miami
0.3%
>99%
51
89
✓
MIA −30.2
MIA −36.5open MIA −30.5
–
–
Final
North Dakota@Clemson
1.2%
99%
77
92
✓
CLEM −24.8
CLEM −22.5open CLEM −21.5
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Cincinnati
30%
70%
63
61
✗
CIN −5.7
CIN −6.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Illinois@Notre Dame
0.7%
99%
70
94
✓
ND −27.1
ND −28.5open ND −27.5
–
–
Final
UNC Greensboro@UIC
8.1%
92%
72
82
✓
UIC −15.4
UIC −19.5open UIC −18.5
–
–
Final
Cleveland State@Bowling Green
6.5%
94%
79
95
✓
BGSU −16.6
BGSU −12.5
–
–
Final
Long Island University@Towson
25%
75%
46
66
✓
TOW −7.5
TOW −6.5open TOW −4.5
–
–
Final
Stonehill@Columbia
9.5%
90%
55
75
✓
COLU −14.4
COLU −13.5open COLU −11.5
–
–
Final
Kansas City@Jacksonville
15%
85%
61
79
✓
JAX −11.3
JAX −4.5
–
–
Final
South Carolina Upstate@Coastal Carolina
24%
76%
56
65
✓
CCU −7.9
CCU −10.5open CCU −9.5
–
–
Final
South Carolina State@Chicago State
42%
58%
82
67
✗
CHST −2.2
CHST −1.5open CHST −5.5
–
–
Final
Oakland@#8Alabama
0.2%
>99%
68
109
✓
ALA −31.2
ALA −32.5open ALA −31.5
–
–
Final
Jackson State@Mississippi State
0.5%
>99%
57
98
✓
MSST −28.0
MSST −23.5open MSST −21.5
–
–
Final
Florida A&M@UAB
1.8%
98%
64
92
✓
UAB −23.1
UAB −18.5open UAB −15.5
–
–
Final
UL Monroe@Texas A&M
<0.1%
>99%
67
108
✓
TA&M −40.9
TA&M −36.5open TA&M −35.5
–
–
Final
SIU Edwardsville@Missouri
1.6%
98%
58
96
✓
MIZ −23.5
MIZ −29.5open MIZ −28.5
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@LSU
7.1%
93%
50
90
✓
LSU −16.2
LSU −29.5open LSU −28.5
–
–
Final
Boston University@Northwestern
4.7%
95%
55
72
✓
NU −18.4
NU −14.5open NU −17.5
–
–
Final
North Alabama@Oklahoma
1.2%
99%
72
81
✓
OU −24.8
OU −28.5open OU −26.5
–
–
Final
Illinois State@#17Purdue
4.6%
95%
59
76
✓
PUR −18.5
PUR −15.5
–
–
Final
App State@#25Auburn
2.2%
98%
53
75
✓
AUB −22.1
AUB −23.5open AUB −24.5
–
–
Final
Charlotte@Seton Hall
10%
90%
62
68
✓
HALL −13.9
HALL −4.5
–
–
Final
Alabama A&M@DePaul
3.6%
96%
47
84
✓
DEP −19.8
DEP −24.5open DEP −21.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Washington@Oregon State
11%
89%
84
94
✓
ORST −13.5
ORST −17.5open ORST −15.5
–
–

Late night 3 games

Final
Rice@Stanford
2.0%
98%
73
91
✓
STAN −22.6
STAN −18.5open STAN −19.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi Valley State@Washington
<0.1%
>99%
64
77
✓
WASH −40.2
WASH −34.5open WASH −32.5
–
–
Final
Rainbow ClassicPortland@Hawai'iUpset
21%
79%
73
66
✗
HAW −8.8
HAW −7.5open HAW −6.5
–
–