The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1981

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 16 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 47

Wilder than 47% of weeks in the archive.

7 upsets against 6.1 expected

  • Biggest shockClemson over Nebraska32% chance · won 22-15
  • Runner-upTennessee over Wisconsin40% chance · won 28-21
  • Runner-upWest Virginia over Florida40% chance · won 26-6

Upsets

Sat, Dec 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Oklahoma StatevsTexas A&M
38%
62%
16
33
✓
TA&M −4.5
–
–

Sun, Dec 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
WisconsinvsTennessee
60%
40%
21
28
✗
WIS −4.7
–
–

Fri, Dec 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Washington Statevs#14BYU
31%
69%
36
38
✓
BYU −7.5
–
–

Sat, Dec 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#19Southern Missvs#23Missouri
54%
46%
17
19
✗
USM −2.0
–
–
Final
San Jose StatevsToledo
54%
46%
25
27
✗
SJSU −2.3
–
–

Sat, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#20Houstonvs#15Oklahoma
43%
57%
14
40
✓
OU −2.5
–
–

Mon, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#24Arkansasvs#8North Carolina
31%
69%
27
31
✓
UNC −7.3
–
–

Wed, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Navyvs#18Ohio State
23%
77%
28
31
✓
OSU −11.3
–
–

Thu, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
#10UCLAvs#9Michigan
48%
52%
14
33
✓
MICH −0.3
–
–
Final
Kansasvs#25Mississippi State
31%
70%
0
10
✓
MSST −7.7
–
–
Final
#16FloridavsWest VirginiaUpset
60%
40%
6
26
✗
FLA −4.6
–
–

Fri, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final
#1Nebraskavs#6Clemson
68%
32%
15
22
✗
NEB −7.9
–
–
Final
#13USCvs#2Penn State
31%
70%
10
26
✓
PSU −7.6
–
–
Final
#4Georgiavs#3Pittsburgh
49%
51%
20
24
✓
PK
–
–
Final
#7Alabamavs#17Texas
60%
40%
12
14
✗
ALA −4.4
–
–
Final
#22IowavsWashingtonUpset
54%
46%
0
28
✗
IOWA −2.0
–
–