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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1981

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 19 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 57

Wilder than 57% of weeks in the archive.

3 upsets against 4.2 expected

  • Biggest shockArmy over Navy6.9% chance · won 3-3
  • Runner-upPenn State over Pittsburgh32% chance · won 48-14
  • Runner-upAir Force over San Diego State33% chance · won 21-16

Thu, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Pennsylvania@Richmond
1.0%
99%
12
18
✓
Richmond −37.0
–
–
Final
#19Texas@Texas A&M
54%
46%
21
13
✓
TEX −2.3
–
–

Fri, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#15Notre Dame@#14Miami (FL)
38%
62%
15
37
✓
MIA −4.2
–
–

Sat, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 16 games

Final
San Diego State@Air Force
67%
33%
16
21
✗
SDSU −7.6
–
–
Final
Auburn@#8Alabama
17%
83%
17
28
✓
ALA −15.0
–
–
Final
Arizona@#10Arizona State
10%
90%
13
24
✓
ASU −19.6
–
–
Final
Boston College@Holy Cross
85%
15%
28
24
✓
BC −17.1
–
–
Final
Florida State@#20Florida
33%
67%
3
35
✓
FLA −6.4
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Hawaii
4.8%
95%
6
59
✓
HAW −26.3
–
–
Final
#24Houston@Rice
78%
22%
40
3
✓
HOU −12.8
–
–
Final
Army@Navy
6.9%
93%
3
3
✗
NAVY −23.3
–
–
Final
UNLV@UTEP
83%
17%
27
20
✓
UNLV −15.6
–
–
Final
#16Oklahoma@Oklahoma State
64%
36%
27
3
✓
OU −6.4
–
–
Final
#4Penn State@#2Pittsburgh
32%
68%
48
14
✗
PITT −7.1
–
–
Final
North Texas@San Jose State
16%
84%
16
28
✓
SJSU −15.6
–
–
Final
Lamar@#18Southern Miss
1.3%
99%
14
45
✓
USM −35.2
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Tennessee
30%
70%
34
38
✓
TENN −8.1
–
–
Final
LSU@Tulane
28%
72%
7
48
✓
TULN −8.9
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Virginia
67%
33%
20
3
✓
VT −7.4
–
–