Week 12 slate, 1981

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 59 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Sat, Nov 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 56 games

Final

Colorado State@#11Arizona State

0.8%
99%

7
52

✓

ASU −38.6

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Arkansas State

73%
27%

7
31

✗

TLSA −10.3

–

–

Final

Ball State@Illinois State

77%
23%

14
10

✓

BALL −12.3

–

–

Final

Rutgers@Boston College

33%
67%

21
27

✓

BC −6.7

–

–

Final

Utah@#16BYU

19%
80%

28
56

✓

BYU −13.2

–

–

Final

Columbia@Brown

19%
82%

20
23

✓

Brown −13.8

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Bowling Green

47%
53%

6
3

✗

BGSU −0.7

–

–

Final

Furman@The Citadel

55%
45%

18
35

✗

Furman −2.4

–

–

Final

#9Clemson@South Carolina

64%
36%

29
13

✓

CLEM −6.1

–

–

Final

Kansas State@Colorado

42%
58%

21
24

✓

COLO −2.9

–

–

Final

Dartmouth@Pennsylvania

89%
11%

33
13

✓

Dartmouth −19.8

–

–

Final

Fresno State@ArizonaUpset

11%
89%

23
17

✗

ARIZ −19.2

–

–

Final

Texas Tech@#24Houston

11%
89%

7
15

✓

HOU −18.9

–

–

Final

Illinois@Northwestern

93%
7.0%

49
12

✓

ILL −24.1

–

–

Final

Purdue@Indiana

74%
26%

17
20

✗

PUR −10.7

–

–

Final

Indiana State@Marshall

76%
24%

42
0

✓

Indiana State −11.8

–

–

Final

Michigan State@Iowa

28%
72%

7
36

✓

IOWA −8.8

–

–

Final

#20Missouri@KansasUpset

69%
31%

11
19

✗

MIZ −8.2

–

–

Final

Tennessee@Kentucky

55%
45%

10
21

✗

TENN −2.5

–

–

Final

#15Southern Miss@LouisvilleUpset

87%
13%

10
13

✗

USM −18.5

–

–

Final

Virginia@Maryland

16%
84%

7
48

✓

MD −15.2

–

–

Final

McNeese@Louisiana

62%
38%

14
7

✓

McNeese −5.4

–

–

Final

#13Miami (FL)@NC State

76%
24%

14
6

✓

MIA −11.5

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@Miami (OH)

33%
67%

3
7

✓

M-OH −6.7

–

–

Final

#23Mississippi State@Ole MissUpset

75%
25%

17
21

✗

MSST −11.3

–

–

Final

#1Nebraska@#14Oklahoma

65%
35%

37
14

✓

NEB −6.6

–

–

Final

Air Force@UNLV

37%
63%

21
24

✓

UNLV −4.8

–

–

Final

#8North Carolina@Duke

77%
23%

31
10

✓

UNC −12.3

–

–

Final

Ohio@Kent State

41%
59%

20
7

✗

KENT −3.3

–

–

Final

#19Ohio State@#5Michigan

26%
74%

14
9

✗

MICH −9.6

–

–

Final

Oklahoma State@Iowa State

42%
58%

27
7

✗

ISU −2.6

–

–

Final

Oregon State@Oregon

12%
88%

17
47

✓

ORE −18.3

–

–

Final

Pacific@HawaiiUpset

5.3%
95%

23
17

✗

HAW −25.5

–

–

Final

#17Notre Dame@#3Penn State

22%
78%

21
24

✓

PSU −11.8

–

–

Final

#2Pittsburgh@Temple

86%
14%

35
0

✓

PITT −17.3

–

–

Final

Cornell@Princeton

41%
59%

14
37

✓

Princeton −3.0

–

–

Final

UTEP@San Diego State

3.4%
97%

14
59

✓

SDSU −28.8

–

–

Final

San Jose State@Long Beach State

88%
12%

24
22

✓

SJSU −19.0

–

–

Final

#12UCLA@#10USC

41%
59%

21
22

✓

USC −3.3

–

–

Final

#7SMU@#22Arkansas

55%
45%

32
18

✓

SMU −2.6

–

–

Final

California@Stanford

28%
72%

21
42

✓

STAN −9.0

–

–

Final

#25West Virginia@SyracuseUpset

65%
35%

24
27

✗

WVU −6.8

–

–

Final

Baylor@#21Texas

25%
75%

12
34

✓

TEX −10.3

–

–

Final

Texas A&M@TCU

60%
40%

37
7

✓

TA&M −4.6

–

–

Final

Lamar@Texas-Arlington

34%
66%

7
31

✓

Texas-Arlington −6.2

–

–

Final

Toledo@Northern Illinois

67%
33%

31
0

✓

TOL −7.4

–

–

Final

Chattanooga@Vanderbilt

32%
68%

14
28

✓

VAN −7.0

–

–

Final

VMI@Virginia TechUpset

3.9%
96%

6
0

✗

VT −27.8

–

–

Final

Washington State@Washington

43%
57%

10
23

✓

WASH −2.3

–

–

Final

West Texas@New Mexico State

61%
39%

45
9

✓

West Texas −5.1

–

–

Final

Appalachian State@Western Carolina

71%
29%

10
21

✗

APP −9.2

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Western Michigan

4.0%
96%

7
38

✓

WMU −27.7

–

–

Final

Richmond@William & Mary

70%
30%

21
35

✗

Richmond −8.8

–

–

Final

Wisconsin@Minnesota

52%
48%

26
21

✓

WIS −1.2

–

–

Final

Wyoming@New Mexico

69%
31%

13
12

✓

WYO −8.6

–

–

Final

Harvard@Yale

22%
78%

0
28

✓

Yale −12.1

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD	Nebraska-Omaha at Drake	Drake −16.4	86%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD	Nevada at Cal State Fullerton	Nevada −7.0	66%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD	Louisiana-Monroe at Northwestern State	Louisiana-Monroe −16.9	85%