The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 1 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 11 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 70

Wilder than 70% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 3.8 expected

  • Biggest shockKansas over Hawaii34% chance · won 33-27
  • Runner-upOregon over Washington State36% chance · won 42-39
  • Runner-upAlabama over Georgia37% chance · won 20-16

Upsets

Thu, Aug 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#14Boston College@#4BYU
34%
66%
14
28
✓
BYU −5.8
–
–

Sat, Aug 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 8 games

Final
UTEP@#23Air Force
15%
85%
6
48
✓
AF −15.3
–
–
Final
San Jose State@California
49%
51%
21
48
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Cincinnati
62%
38%
14
31
✗
VT −5.1
–
–
Final
#6Florida State@Tulane
61%
39%
38
12
✓
FSU −5.0
–
–
Final
Kansas@Hawaii
34%
66%
33
27
✗
HAW −5.7
–
–
Final
Memphis@Louisiana
50%
50%
37
6
✗
MEM −0.4
–
–
Final
Oregon@Washington State
36%
64%
42
39
✗
WSU −5.2
–
–
Final
Purdue@Pittsburgh
41%
59%
30
31
✓
PITT −2.8
–
–

Mon, Sep 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Alabama@#17GeorgiaUpset
37%
63%
20
16
✗
UGA −4.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Aug 31 · TBD The Citadel at #25 South Carolina South Carolina −30.3 98%