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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 11 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 28

Wilder than 28% of weeks in the archive.

13 upsets against 13.5 expected

  • Biggest shockNC State over Virginia25% chance · won 23-22
  • Runner-upWyoming over San Diego State27% chance · won 41-20
  • Runner-upColorado State over Southern Miss29% chance · won 35-17

Upsets

Thu, Nov 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
San Jose State@Long Beach State
32%
68%
22
37
✓
Long Beach State −6.8
–
–

Sat, Nov 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Army@#4Air Force
9.9%
90%
7
45
✓
AF −20.1
–
–
Final
#21LSU@#11Alabama
32%
68%
14
14
✗
ALA −7.1
–
–
Final
Washington@#24Arizona State
36%
64%
7
36
✓
ASU −5.3
–
–
Final
#18Baylor@#15Arkansas
36%
64%
14
20
✓
ARK −5.1
–
–
Final
East Carolina@#6Auburn
3.4%
97%
10
35
✓
AUB −29.0
–
–
Final
#7BYU@Utah State
97%
3.4%
44
0
✓
BYU −29.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Cal State Fullerton
35%
65%
17
21
✓
Cal State Fullerton −5.6
–
–
Final
USC@California
67%
33%
6
14
✗
USC −7.6
–
–
Final
Colorado@Kansas
46%
54%
14
3
✗
KU −1.3
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Colorado State
71%
29%
17
35
✗
USM −9.2
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#19Florida State
16%
84%
14
56
✓
FSU −15.6
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Pacific
83%
17%
43
37
✓
FRES −15.8
–
–
Final
#1Florida@#16Georgia
58%
42%
3
24
✗
FLA −3.6
–
–
Final
Hawaii@UTEP
70%
30%
23
7
✓
HAW −8.8
–
–
Final
Illinois@#10Iowa
18%
82%
0
59
✓
IOWA −13.9
–
–
Final
#2Miami (FL)@#13Maryland
56%
44%
29
22
✓
MIA −2.9
–
–
Final
Kent State@Miami (OH)
31%
69%
24
52
✓
M-OH −7.5
–
–
Final
Purdue@#5Michigan
11%
89%
0
47
✓
MICH −19.2
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Indiana
53%
47%
35
16
✓
MSU −1.7
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Minnesota
33%
67%
18
27
✓
MINN −6.7
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#3Nebraska
0.6%
99%
0
49
✓
NEB −39.9
–
–
Final
Clemson@North Carolina
52%
48%
20
21
✗
CLEM −1.5
–
–
Final
Virginia@NC StateUpset
75%
25%
22
23
✗
UVA −11.3
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Eastern Michigan
30%
70%
3
0
✗
EMU −7.7
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#17Notre Dame
12%
88%
14
37
✓
ND −18.5
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ohio
51%
49%
15
21
✗
WMU −0.9
–
–
Final
#8Ohio State@Northwestern
93%
7.4%
35
17
✓
OSU −23.6
–
–
Final
#9Oklahoma@Missouri
90%
10%
51
6
✓
OU −20.9
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#20Oklahoma State
1.6%
98%
3
35
✓
OKST −34.0
–
–
Final
Penn State@Cincinnati
74%
26%
31
10
✓
PSU −11.0
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Temple
41%
59%
21
17
✗
TEM −3.2
–
–
Final
Rice@#22SMU
4.0%
96%
15
40
✓
SMU −27.7
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Stanford
19%
80%
24
39
✓
STAN −13.3
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Navy
53%
47%
24
20
✓
SYR −1.8
–
–
Final
#14Tennessee@Memphis
75%
25%
17
7
✓
TENN −11.1
–
–
Final
Texas@Houston
64%
36%
34
24
✓
TEX −6.4
–
–
Final
TCU@Texas Tech
28%
72%
7
63
✓
TTU −8.9
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Toledo
66%
34%
7
10
✗
CMU −7.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Tulane
39%
61%
17
27
✓
TULN −4.1
–
–
Final
#12UCLA@Arizona
55%
45%
24
19
✓
UCLA −2.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Utah
9.4%
91%
49
58
✓
UTAH −20.6
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Vanderbilt
70%
30%
24
31
✗
UK −8.8
–
–
Final
Louisville@Virginia Tech
5.9%
94%
17
41
✓
VT −24.7
–
–
Final
Duke@Wake Forest
39%
61%
7
27
✓
WAKE −4.1
–
–
Final
Rutgers@West Virginia
24%
76%
0
27
✓
WVU −11.0
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Wyoming
73%
27%
20
41
✗
SDSU −10.3
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 9 · TBD Indiana State at Ball State Ball State −10.0 74%
Sat, Nov 9 · TBD Chattanooga at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech −29.6 97%
Sat, Nov 9 · TBD Wichita State at Illinois State Illinois State −1.4 55%
Sat, Nov 9 · TBD UNLV at Nevada Nevada −7.6 69%
Sat, Nov 9 · TBD Drake at Tulsa Tulsa −25.3 94%