The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 14 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 44

Wilder than 44% of weeks in the archive.

4 upsets against 4.0 expected

  • Biggest shockWest Virginia over Syracuse29% chance · won 13-10
  • Runner-upHawaii over San Diego State31% chance · won 10-10
  • Runner-upCal State Fullerton over Pacific33% chance · won 43-37

Upsets

Thu, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
29%
71%
10
42
✓
TA&M −8.5
–
–

Fri, Nov 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
16%
84%
21
33
✓
MD −15.5
–
–

Sat, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 12 games

Final
46%
54%
23
25
✓
ALA −1.1
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Pacific
33%
67%
43
37
✗
Pacific −6.4
–
–
Final
32%
68%
14
38
✓
FLA −7.1
–
–
Final
52%
48%
16
20
✗
UGA −1.4
–
–
Final
55%
45%
24
20
✓
HOU −2.5
–
–
Final
90%
10%
31
19
✓
LSU −20.6
–
–
Final
19%
81%
7
58
✓
MIA −13.7
–
–
Final
68%
32%
13
0
✓
OU −7.9
–
–
Final
31%
69%
10
10
✗
SDSU −7.6
–
–
Final
27%
73%
6
20
✓
USC −9.2
–
–
Final
3.2%
97%
0
30
✓
TENN −29.4
–
–
Final
29%
71%
13
10
✗
SYR −8.2
–
–