The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 40 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 69

Wilder than 69% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 10.2 expected

  • Biggest shockIowa State over Oklahoma State8.7% chance · won 15-10
  • Runner-upCal State Fullerton over Long Beach State19% chance · won 38-27
  • Runner-upDuke over North Carolina20% chance · won 23-21

Upsets

Sat, Nov 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 38 games

Final
#4Air Force@Hawaii
86%
14%
27
20
✓
AF −17.7
–
–
Final
Arizona@#21Arizona StateUpset
30%
70%
16
13
✗
ASU −8.0
–
–
Final
#25SMU@#17Arkansas
29%
71%
9
15
✓
ARK −8.1
–
–
Final
#24Bowling Green@Ohio
91%
8.6%
38
17
✓
BGSU −22.3
–
–
Final
Utah@#6BYU
12%
88%
28
38
✓
BYU −18.3
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Long Beach StateUpset
19%
82%
38
27
✗
Long Beach State −13.8
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Central Michigan
18%
82%
21
30
✓
CMU −14.2
–
–
Final
Clemson@South Carolina
52%
48%
24
17
✓
CLEM −1.5
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Colorado
4.1%
96%
0
30
✓
COLO −27.5
–
–
Final
Duke@North CarolinaUpset
20%
80%
23
21
✗
UNC −12.7
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Fresno State
0.6%
99%
6
47
✓
FRES −39.9
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Houston
52%
48%
16
17
✗
TTU −1.2
–
–
Final
Illinois@Northwestern
76%
24%
45
20
✓
ILL −11.9
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#7Iowa
9.4%
91%
9
31
✓
IOWA −20.7
–
–
Final
#23Oklahoma State@Iowa StateUpset
91%
8.7%
10
15
✗
OKST −22.2
–
–
Final
Missouri@Kansas
20%
80%
20
34
✓
KU −13.2
–
–
Final
#22LSU@#20Notre Dame
38%
62%
10
7
✗
ND −4.6
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#3Miami (FL)
3.1%
97%
3
24
✓
MIA −29.7
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Miami (OH)
19%
80%
10
16
✓
M-OH −13.3
–
–
Final
#15Ohio State@#1Michigan
20%
80%
17
27
✓
MICH −13.2
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Wisconsin
42%
58%
41
7
✗
WIS −2.8
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
52%
48%
27
45
✗
MSST −1.2
–
–
Final
#2Nebraska@#5Oklahoma
46%
54%
7
27
✓
OU −1.2
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Oregon
9.0%
91%
13
34
✓
ORE −21.1
–
–
Final
#19Penn State@Pittsburgh
57%
43%
31
0
✓
PSU −3.2
–
–
Final
Purdue@Indiana
62%
38%
34
21
✓
PUR −5.2
–
–
Final
San Diego State@New Mexico
61%
39%
55
20
✓
SDSU −5.0
–
–
Final
#10UCLA@USCUpset
62%
38%
13
17
✗
UCLA −5.2
–
–
Final
Tulane@Southern Miss
10%
90%
6
24
✓
USM −20.0
–
–
Final
California@Stanford
41%
59%
22
24
✓
STAN −3.0
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Rutgers
73%
27%
31
14
✓
SYR −10.2
–
–
Final
#14Tennessee@Kentucky
65%
35%
42
0
✓
TENN −6.7
–
–
Final
#18Baylor@TexasUpset
54%
46%
10
17
✗
BAY −2.0
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@TCU
87%
13%
53
6
✓
TA&M −18.3
–
–
Final
Kent State@Toledo
37%
63%
7
10
✓
TOL −4.8
–
–
Final
Utah State@New Mexico State
54%
46%
40
23
✓
USU −2.2
–
–
Final
Washington State@Washington
29%
71%
21
20
✗
WASH −8.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Western Michigan
29%
71%
21
38
✓
WMU −8.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 23 · TBD Holy Cross at Boston College Boston College −35.2 99%
Sat, Nov 23 · TBD Weber State at Pacific Pacific −21.9 92%