The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 18 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 64

Wilder than 64% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 6.9 expected

  • Biggest shockTennessee over Miami (FL)36% chance · won 35-7
  • Runner-upFresno State over Bowling Green37% chance · won 51-7
  • Runner-upArizona over Georgia37% chance · won 13-13

Upsets

Sat, Dec 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
63%
37%
7
51
✗
BGSU −5.9
–
–

Sat, Dec 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
32%
68%
18
35
✓
MD −7.1
–
–
Final
59%
41%
13
20
✗
CLEM −4.0
–
–

Sun, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
43%
57%
17
18
✓
ARK −2.4
–
–

Fri, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#20LSUvs#21Baylor
49%
51%
7
21
✓
PK
–
–

Sat, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
30%
70%
3
24
✓
ALA −8.0
–
–
Final
37%
63%
13
13
✗
UGA −4.6
–
–
Final
60%
40%
7
10
✗
BYU −4.6
–
–

Mon, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
37%
63%
23
34
✓
FSU −4.8
–
–
Final
45%
55%
17
20
✓
WASH −1.7
–
–

Tue, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
17%
83%
16
24
✓
AF −14.9
–
–
Final
53%
47%
29
31
✗
ILL −1.6
–
–
Final
42%
58%
14
17
✓
GT −2.6
–
–

Wed, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final
42%
58%
23
27
✓
MICH −2.6
–
–
Final
30%
70%
10
25
✓
OU −8.0
–
–
Final
64%
36%
7
35
✗
MIA −6.1
–
–
Final
61%
39%
16
36
✗
AUB −4.8
–
–
Final
#7Iowavs#11UCLA
58%
42%
28
45
✗
IOWA −3.5
–
–