The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 54

Wilder than 54% of weeks in the archive.

13 upsets against 13.1 expected

  • Biggest shockIllinois over Michigan8.6% chance · won 3-3
  • Runner-upNC State over South Carolina10% chance · won 21-17
  • Runner-upOhio over Kent State11% chance · won 33-23

Upsets

Thu, Oct 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
9.8%
90%
12
17
✓
UNLV −20.3
–
–

Sat, Nov 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
8.0%
92%
10
31
✓
AF −22.1
–
–
Final
16%
84%
28
44
✓
ALA −15.2
–
–
Final
87%
13%
27
6
✓
ARIZ −18.3
–
–
Final
67%
33%
30
8
✓
ASU −7.6
–
–
Final
93%
7.0%
30
15
✓
ARK −24.0
–
–
Final
88%
12%
34
14
✓
BGSU −19.2
–
–
Final
2.7%
97%
0
59
✓
BYU −30.5
–
–
Final
17%
83%
10
26
✓
CLEM −14.6
–
–
Final
47%
53%
27
24
✗
BALL −0.9
–
–
Final
48%
52%
14
10
✗
AUB −0.4
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Cal State Fullerton
87%
13%
42
7
✓
FRES −18.4
–
–
Final
4.7%
95%
3
58
✓
UGA −26.5
–
–
Final
70%
30%
9
0
✓
GT −8.8
–
–
Final
35%
65%
14
34
✓
HAW −5.7
–
–
Final
46%
54%
26
21
✗
TCU −1.0
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Pacific
38%
62%
20
7
✗
Pacific −4.4
–
–
Final
68%
32%
14
0
✓
LSU −7.9
–
–
Final
13%
87%
10
28
✓
MD −17.8
–
–
Final
55%
44%
35
27
✓
MIA −2.7
–
–
Final
29%
71%
19
14
✗
CMU −8.2
–
–
Final
8.6%
91%
3
3
✗
MICH −21.4
–
–
Final
50%
50%
26
31
✗
MINN −0.6
–
–
Final
57%
43%
28
27
✓
MIZ −3.4
–
–
Final
98%
2.0%
41
3
✓
NEB −33.4
–
–
Final
44%
56%
27
23
✗
UTEP −1.9
–
–
Final
10%
90%
21
17
✗
SC −19.9
–
–
Final
20%
80%
17
41
✓
ND −12.9
–
–
Final
12%
88%
33
23
✗
KENT −18.8
–
–
Final
42%
58%
13
22
✓
OSU −2.8
–
–
Final
20%
80%
6
48
✓
OU −13.2
–
–
Final
60%
40%
14
11
✓
OKST −4.4
–
–
Final
14%
86%
13
35
✓
ORE −17.0
–
–
Final
18%
82%
12
16
✓
PSU −14.5
–
–
Final
15%
85%
7
31
✓
PUR −16.3
–
–
Final
33%
67%
13
31
✓
USC −6.4
–
–
Final
16%
84%
0
27
✓
USM −15.5
–
–
Final
38%
62%
12
0
✗
PITT −4.4
–
–
Final
11%
89%
0
40
✓
TENN −19.3
–
–
Final
20%
80%
21
34
✓
TEX −12.9
–
–
Final
#22SMU@Texas A&MUpset
45%
55%
17
19
✓
TA&M −1.3
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Wichita State
85%
15%
42
26
✓
TLSA −16.9
–
–
Final
6.0%
94%
7
34
✓
UTAH −24.6
–
–
Final
43%
57%
7
27
✓
UVA −2.3
–
–
Final
46%
54%
10
31
✓
VT −1.2
–
–
Final
18%
82%
0
34
✓
WASH −14.1
–
–
Final
39%
61%
13
18
✓
WMU −4.1
–
–
Final
28%
72%
20
31
✓
WIS −8.8
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 2 · TBD Holy Cross at Army Army −35.7 99%
Sat, Nov 2 · TBD Temple at Delaware Delaware −7.5 69%
Sat, Nov 2 · TBD East Tennessee State at Kentucky Kentucky −37.1 99%
Sat, Nov 2 · TBD UCF at Louisville UCF −4.1 59%
Sat, Nov 2 · TBD West Texas at Drake Drake −4.7 63%