Week 10 slate, 1985
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1
Chaos 54
Wilder than 54% of weeks in the archive.
13 upsets against 13.1 expected
- Biggest shockIllinois over Michigan8.6% chance · won 3-3
- Runner-upNC State over South Carolina10% chance · won 21-17
- Runner-upOhio over Kent State11% chance · won 33-23
Upsets
- NC State 21, South Carolina 17NC State won; the model gave them 10% before kickoff
- Ohio 33, Kent State 23Ohio won; the model gave them 12% before kickoff
- SMU 17, Texas A&M 19#22 SMU lost to unranked Texas A&M
No games match.
Thu, Oct 31
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Sat, Nov 2
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 47 games
Final
Long Beach State@Pacific
38%
62%
62%
20
7
7
✗
Pacific −4.4
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 2 · TBD | Holy Cross at |
Army −35.7 | 99% |
| Sat, Nov 2 · TBD | Delaware −7.5 | 69% | |
| Sat, Nov 2 · TBD | East Tennessee State at |
Kentucky −37.1 | 99% |
| Sat, Nov 2 · TBD | UCF at |
UCF −4.1 | 59% |
| Sat, Nov 2 · TBD | West Texas at Drake | Drake −4.7 | 63% |