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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 99

Wilder than 99% of weeks in the archive.

19 upsets against 14.6 expected

  • Biggest shockOregon State over Washington2.3% chance · won 21-20
  • Runner-upVanderbilt over Georgia5.2% chance · won 13-13
  • Runner-upNorthwestern over Wisconsin13% chance · won 17-14

Upsets

Sat, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
#6Air Force@Colorado State
91%
8.7%
35
19
✓
AF −22.1
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Arizona
7.5%
92%
0
41
✓
ARIZ −22.7
–
–
Final
Utah State@Arizona State
5.6%
94%
10
42
✓
ASU −25.1
–
–
Final
#7Auburn@Georgia Tech
70%
30%
17
14
✓
AUB −8.8
–
–
Final
#24Texas A&M@#19Baylor
36%
64%
15
20
✓
BAY −5.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@#18Bowling Green
18%
82%
18
23
✓
BGSU −14.1
–
–
Final
#4BYU@New Mexico
96%
4.2%
45
23
✓
BYU −28.0
–
–
Final
California@Oregon
35%
65%
27
24
✗
ORE −5.5
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Louisville
67%
33%
31
9
✓
CIN −7.6
–
–
Final
Clemson@Duke
55%
45%
21
9
✓
CLEM −2.4
–
–
Final
Colorado@Iowa State
71%
29%
40
6
✓
COLO −9.3
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Ohio
51%
49%
27
21
✓
EMU −1.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#2Florida
0.9%
99%
0
45
✓
FLA −37.9
–
–
Final
Tulsa@#20Florida State
9.4%
91%
14
76
✓
FSU −20.7
–
–
Final
Fresno State@New Mexico State
89%
11%
48
21
✓
FRES −20.4
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#14Georgia
5.2%
95%
13
13
✗
UGA −25.7
–
–
Final
Illinois@Michigan State
44%
56%
30
17
✗
MSU −1.9
–
–
Final
#3Michigan@#10Iowa
54%
46%
10
12
✗
MICH −1.9
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Kansas
5.4%
95%
7
38
✓
KU −25.3
–
–
Final
Ball State@Kent State
39%
61%
16
45
✓
KENT −4.0
–
–
Final
#25Kentucky@#21LSU
33%
67%
0
10
✓
LSU −6.5
–
–
Final
#16Maryland@Wake Forest
82%
18%
26
3
✓
MD −14.8
–
–
Final
#5Miami (FL)@#13Oklahoma
57%
43%
27
14
✓
MIA −3.3
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Indiana
51%
49%
22
7
✓
MINN −1.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@Mississippi State
10%
90%
27
31
✓
MSST −19.8
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Missouri
95%
4.8%
28
20
✓
NEB −27.0
–
–
Final
UNLV@Cal State Fullerton
72%
28%
10
6
✓
UNLV −10.0
–
–
Final
North Carolina@NC State
69%
31%
21
14
✓
UNC −8.4
–
–
Final
Toledo@Northern Illinois
48%
52%
3
16
✓
NIU −0.3
–
–
Final
Northwestern@WisconsinUpset
13%
87%
17
14
✗
WIS −17.7
–
–
Final
#23Army@Notre DameUpset
47%
53%
10
24
✓
ND −0.8
–
–
Final
Purdue@#9Ohio State
16%
84%
27
41
✓
OSU −15.4
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#22WashingtonUpset
2.3%
98%
21
20
✗
WASH −31.8
–
–
Final
Pacific@HawaiiUpset
16%
84%
24
15
✗
HAW −15.4
–
–
Final
Penn State@Syracuse
51%
49%
24
20
✓
PSU −0.7
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Rutgers
47%
53%
38
10
✗
RUTG −0.6
–
–
Final
Rice@Texas TechUpset
15%
85%
29
27
✗
TTU −16.2
–
–
Final
South Carolina@East Carolina
46%
54%
52
10
✗
ECU −1.0
–
–
Final
Stanford@USC
19%
81%
6
30
✓
USC −13.6
–
–
Final
SMU@Houston
60%
40%
37
13
✓
SMU −4.7
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Memphis
42%
58%
14
7
✗
MEM −2.7
–
–
Final
#17Tennessee@#12Alabama
35%
65%
16
14
✗
ALA −5.5
–
–
Final
Texas@#8ArkansasUpset
18%
82%
15
13
✗
ARK −14.1
–
–
Final
#11UCLA@Washington State
70%
30%
31
30
✓
UCLA −8.9
–
–
Final
Utah@San Diego State
40%
60%
39
37
✗
SDSU −3.5
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@VirginiaUpset
17%
83%
28
10
✗
UVA −14.9
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Boston College
47%
53%
13
6
✗
BC −0.7
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Western Michigan
70%
30%
10
10
✓
M-OH −8.8
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD Eastern Washington at Long Beach State Long Beach State −13.2 80%
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD Lafayette at Navy Navy −24.0 94%
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD William & Mary at Temple Temple −40.0 99%
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD North Texas at TCU North Texas −2.2 54%
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD Illinois State at West Texas Pick'em 51%
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD Drake at Wichita State Wichita State −2.4 57%