The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 4

Wilder than 4% of weeks in the archive.

7 upsets against 14.3 expected

  • Biggest shockIowa State over Kansas17% chance · won 22-21
  • Runner-upCal State Fullerton over Utah State29% chance · won 32-30
  • Runner-upLouisiana over East Carolina30% chance · won 16-14

Upsets

Sat, Oct 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
#6Air Force@Navy
78%
22%
24
7
✓
AF −12.6
–
–
Final
Utah@Arizona State
37%
63%
27
34
✓
ASU −5.5
–
–
Final
#8Arkansas@Texas Tech
77%
23%
30
7
✓
ARK −12.0
–
–
Final
Boston College@Army
37%
63%
14
45
✓
ARMY −5.6
–
–
Final
#7Florida State@#11Auburn
44%
56%
27
59
✓
AUB −2.5
–
–
Final
Ball State@Ohio
55%
45%
36
23
✓
BALL −1.9
–
–
Final
#18Baylor@SMU
50%
50%
21
14
✓
BAY −0.1
–
–
Final
#19Bowling Green@Eastern Michigan
85%
15%
42
24
✓
BGSU −17.3
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#5BYU
18%
82%
0
28
✓
BYU −15.3
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Utah State
29%
71%
32
30
✗
USU −9.2
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
78%
22%
24
17
✓
CMU −12.5
–
–
Final
Virginia@Clemson
57%
43%
24
27
✗
UVA −2.6
–
–
Final
Missouri@Colorado
39%
61%
7
38
✓
COLO −4.6
–
–
Final
Colorado State@New Mexico
36%
64%
45
28
✗
UNM −6.1
–
–
Final
#17Tennessee@#1Florida
20%
80%
10
17
✓
FLA −14.0
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Fresno State
16%
84%
17
37
✓
FRES −16.3
–
–
Final
#20Georgia@Ole Miss
63%
37%
49
21
✓
UGA −5.5
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Wyoming
58%
42%
26
18
✓
HAW −3.4
–
–
Final
#9Iowa@Wisconsin
64%
36%
23
13
✓
IOWA −5.9
–
–
Final
Kansas@Iowa StateUpset
83%
17%
21
22
✗
KU −15.5
–
–
Final
UTEP@Kent State
21%
79%
24
51
✓
KENT −13.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Kentucky
40%
60%
19
33
✓
UK −4.5
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Louisiana
70%
30%
14
16
✗
ECU −8.7
–
–
Final
LSU@Vanderbilt
69%
31%
49
7
✓
LSU −8.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@Memphis
14%
86%
21
38
✓
MEM −18.0
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#3Miami (FL)
2.8%
97%
0
38
✓
MIA −31.7
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Toledo
52%
48%
26
14
✓
M-OH −0.7
–
–
Final
#4Michigan@Michigan State
79%
21%
31
0
✓
MICH −13.2
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Northwestern
62%
38%
21
10
✓
MINN −4.9
–
–
Final
#2Nebraska@#13Oklahoma State
59%
41%
34
24
✓
NEB −3.8
–
–
Final
Pacific@UNLV
22%
78%
14
24
✓
UNLV −13.0
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@North Carolina
37%
63%
14
34
✓
UNC −5.8
–
–
Final
Indiana@#16Ohio State
20%
80%
7
48
✓
OSU −14.0
–
–
Final
Texas@#12Oklahoma
24%
76%
7
14
✓
OU −11.5
–
–
Final
#10Alabama@#25Penn State
59%
41%
17
19
✗
ALA −3.5
–
–
Final
NC State@Pittsburgh
12%
88%
10
24
✓
PITT −19.9
–
–
Final
Illinois@Purdue
34%
66%
24
30
✓
PUR −7.0
–
–
Final
TCU@Rice
65%
35%
27
34
✗
TCU −6.3
–
–
Final
Duke@South Carolina
48%
52%
7
28
✓
SC −1.1
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Louisville
84%
16%
42
12
✓
USM −16.5
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#23Temple
27%
73%
13
14
✓
TEM −10.1
–
–
Final
Houston@#24Texas A&M
24%
76%
16
43
✓
TA&M −11.9
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Tulsa
28%
72%
35
37
✓
TLSA −10.0
–
–
Final
#14UCLA@Stanford
73%
27%
34
9
✓
UCLA −10.2
–
–
Final
#21Washington@California
64%
36%
28
12
✓
WASH −5.6
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon State
74%
26%
34
0
✓
WSU −10.8
–
–
Final
Wichita State@West Texas
45%
55%
21
33
✓
West Texas −2.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 12 · TBD Western Carolina at #22 Georgia Tech Georgia Tech −35.5 98%
Sat, Oct 12 · TBD William & Mary at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −24.8 93%