The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1985

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 39 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 1

Chaos 92

Wilder than 92% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 10.9 expected

  • Biggest shockWichita State over Kansas State6.9% chance · won 16-10
  • Runner-upRichmond over Virginia Tech8.2% chance · won 24-14
  • Runner-upMontana over Cal State Fullerton12% chance · won 31-30

Upsets

Sat, Sep 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 25 games

Final
Toledo@Arizona
30%
70%
10
23
✓
ARIZ −7.5
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#12Auburn
8.2%
92%
7
49
✓
AUB −21.3
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Baylor
33%
67%
18
39
✓
BAY −6.2
–
–
Final
Temple@#15Boston College
30%
70%
25
28
✓
BC −7.5
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Ball State
64%
36%
31
6
✓
BGSU −6.2
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Colorado
43%
57%
10
23
✓
COLO −2.4
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Duke
38%
62%
17
40
✓
DUKE −4.0
–
–
Final
East Carolina@NC State
37%
63%
33
14
✗
NCSU −4.5
–
–
Final
#6Florida@#3Miami (FL)
38%
62%
35
23
✗
MIA −4.1
–
–
Final
#1Florida State@#5Nebraska
57%
43%
17
13
✓
FSU −3.2
–
–
Final
#7Memphis@Ole Miss
62%
38%
17
17
✓
MEM −5.1
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Navy
46%
54%
21
19
✗
NAVY −0.9
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Northern Illinois
41%
59%
0
17
✓
NIU −2.8
–
–
Final
#11Oklahoma State@#8Washington
39%
61%
31
17
✗
WASH −3.7
–
–
Final
Penn State@#17MarylandUpset
32%
68%
20
18
✗
MD −6.7
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@San Jose State
36%
64%
3
32
✓
SJSU −5.1
–
–
Final
USC@#19IllinoisUpset
37%
63%
20
10
✗
ILL −4.7
–
–
Final
UTEP@#20SMU
3.3%
97%
23
35
✓
SMU −28.4
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Texas Tech
33%
67%
31
32
✓
TTU −6.1
–
–
Final
Houston@Tulsa
44%
56%
24
31
✓
TLSA −1.7
–
–
Final
UCLA@#2BYUUpset
15%
85%
27
24
✗
BYU −15.7
–
–
Final
Utah State@Long Beach State
58%
42%
19
17
✓
USU −3.7
–
–
Final
California@Washington State
44%
56%
19
20
✓
WSU −1.9
–
–
Final
Louisville@#25West Virginia
18%
82%
13
52
✓
WVU −14.0
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Kansas StateUpset
6.9%
93%
16
10
✗
KSU −22.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD West Texas at Abilene Christian Abilene Christian −3.7 61%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Austin Peay at Cincinnati Cincinnati −17.0 87%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Youngstown State at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan −13.7 82%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Arkansas State at Mississippi State Mississippi State −6.0 66%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Cal State Fullerton at Montana Cal State Fullerton −18.3 88%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Tennessee Tech at UNLV UNLV −27.6 96%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Idaho at Oregon State Oregon State −19.5 90%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Sacramento State at Pacific Sacramento State −2.3 55%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Richmond at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −21.2 92%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Appalachian State at #16 South Carolina South Carolina −14.6 83%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Louisiana Tech at Southern Miss Southern Miss −6.2 67%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Boise State at Utah Utah −7.1 69%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Chattanooga at Vanderbilt Vanderbilt −19.7 90%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD William & Mary at Wake Forest Wake Forest −24.0 94%