Week 9 slate, 1985
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the
favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood
that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1
Chaos 72
Wilder than 72% of weeks in the archive.
10 upsets against 12.2 expected
- Biggest shockUTEP over BYU1.4% chance · won 23-16
- Runner-upKansas State over Missouri15% chance · won 20-17
- Runner-upStanford over Arizona22% chance · won 28-17
No games match.
Sat, Oct 26
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 47 games
Final
15%
85%
15
37
✓
AF −16.2
–
–
Final
68%
32%
28
9
✓
ALA −7.8
–
–
Final
54%
46%
21
16
✓
ASU −1.9
–
–
Final
7.3%
93%
27
57
✓
ARK −22.9
–
–
Final
14%
86%
9
21
✓
AUB −17.2
–
–
Final
8.2%
92%
0
45
✓
BAY −21.8
–
–
Final
14%
86%
14
26
✓
BGSU −16.6
–
–
Final
16%
84%
10
17
✓
CMU −15.5
–
–
Final
64%
36%
17
24
✗
BC −6.0
–
–
Final
13%
87%
10
39
✓
CLEM −17.5
–
–
Final
50%
50%
30
19
✓
CSU −0.5
–
–
Final
4.8%
95%
18
35
✓
FLA −26.3
–
–
Final
73%
27%
20
10
✓
FSU −10.4
–
–
Final
85%
15%
38
19
✓
FRES −17.1
–
–
Final
34%
66%
6
26
✓
UGA −6.0
–
–
Final
58%
42%
6
6
✓
TENN −3.7
–
–
Final
60%
40%
27
17
✓
HAW −4.6
–
–
Final
40%
60%
25
38
✓
ILL −3.3
–
–
Final
89%
11%
49
10
✓
IOWA −19.9
–
–
Final
15%
85%
20
17
✗
MIZ −16.1
–
–
Final
24%
76%
17
38
✓
Long Beach State −11.1
–
–
Final
65%
35%
13
20
✗
UNLV −6.4
–
–
Final
8.2%
92%
10
40
✓
MD −21.9
–
–
Final
0.2%
>99%
7
45
✓
MIA −46.8
–
–
Final
24%
76%
15
32
✓
M-OH −10.8
–
–
Final
4.3%
96%
15
42
✓
MICH −27.1
–
–
Final
26%
74%
28
24
✗
PUR −9.7
–
–
Final
31%
69%
7
35
✓
MISS −7.5
–
–
Final
62%
38%
7
21
✗
PITT −5.5
–
–
Final
10%
90%
7
17
✓
NEB −19.8
–
–
Final
42%
58%
3
37
✓
ND −2.9
–
–
Final
72%
28%
23
19
✓
OSU −9.8
–
–
Final
3.2%
97%
14
59
✓
OU −29.4
–
–
Final
60%
40%
17
10
✓
OKST −4.4
–
–
Final
30%
70%
49
37
✗
SDSU −8.1
–
–
Final
39%
61%
0
27
✓
PSU −4.1
–
–
Final
47%
53%
26
34
✓
SJSU −0.8
–
–
Final
39%
61%
14
44
✓
SMU −4.0
–
–
Final
78%
22%
17
28
✗
ARIZ −12.9
–
–
Final
46%
54%
14
29
✓
SYR −0.9
–
–
Final
87%
13%
43
28
✓
TA&M −18.4
–
–
Final
99%
1.4%
16
23
✗
BYU −35.7
–
–
Final
29%
71%
10
24
✓
TOL −8.2
–
–
Final
7.6%
92%
17
44
✓
TLSA −22.5
–
–
Final
12%
88%
7
34
✓
UCLA −18.1
–
–
Final
64%
36%
20
18
✓
UVA −6.2
–
–
Final
52%
48%
0
34
✗
BALL −1.4
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game |
Model | Win |
|---|
| Sat, Oct 26 · TBD |
Colgate at Army |
Army −32.2 |
98% |
| Sat, Oct 26 · TBD |
Richmond at Rutgers |
Rutgers −23.7 |
93% |
| Sat, Oct 26 · TBD |
Southern Illinois at Wichita State |
Southern Illinois −2.8 |
56% |