The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1991

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 12 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 35

Wilder than 35% of weeks in the archive.

2 upsets against 2.4 expected

  • Biggest shockTexas Tech over Houston27% chance · won 52-46
  • Runner-upGeorgia over Georgia Tech30% chance · won 18-15
  • Runner-upFlorida over Florida State55% chance · won 14-9

Upsets

Thu, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#7Penn State@Pittsburgh
82%
18%
32
20
✓
PSU −15.3
–
–
Final
#23Texas@#6Texas A&M
16%
84%
14
31
✓
TA&M −15.3
–
–

Fri, Nov 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#10Oklahoma@#8Nebraska
33%
67%
14
19
✓
NEB −6.5
–
–

Sat, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 9 games

Final
Auburn@#19Alabama
23%
77%
6
13
✓
ALA −11.5
–
–
Final
Duke@#12Clemson
5.4%
95%
21
33
✓
CLEM −25.4
–
–
Final
#4Florida State@#5Florida
45%
55%
9
14
✓
FLA −1.4
–
–
Final
Georgia@#24Georgia TechUpset
30%
70%
18
15
✗
GT −7.8
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#2Miami (FL)
3.4%
97%
12
39
✓
MIA −29.0
–
–
Final
#9Notre Dame@Hawaii
88%
12%
48
42
✓
ND −19.5
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#14Tennessee
7.8%
92%
0
45
✓
TENN −22.3
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Houston
27%
73%
52
46
✗
HOU −9.4
–
–
Final
Tulsa@SMU
84%
16%
31
26
✓
TLSA −16.3
–
–