The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1991

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 18 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 58

Wilder than 58% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 7.0 expected

  • Biggest shockBowling Green over Fresno State34% chance · won 28-21
  • Runner-upAir Force over Mississippi State34% chance · won 38-15
  • Runner-upIndiana over Baylor40% chance · won 24-0

Upsets

Sat, Dec 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Bowling GreenvsFresno State
34%
66%
28
21
✗
FRES −6.2
–
–

Wed, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#17Stanfordvs#24Georgia Tech
57%
42%
17
18
✗
STAN −3.5
–
–

Sat, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#11Coloradovs#18Alabama
57%
43%
25
30
✗
COLO −3.4
–
–

Sun, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
#25Mississippi StatevsAir ForceUpset
66%
34%
15
38
✗
MSST −7.1
–
–
Final
ArkansasvsGeorgia
35%
65%
15
24
✓
UGA −5.7
–
–
Final
#20Virginiavs#10Oklahoma
36%
64%
14
48
✓
OU −5.3
–
–

Mon, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#21BYUvs#16Iowa
44%
56%
13
13
✗
IOWA −2.0
–
–
Final
San Diego StatevsTulsa
52%
48%
17
28
✗
SDSU −1.3
–
–

Tue, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#22BaylorvsIndianaUpset
60%
40%
0
24
✗
BAY −4.5
–
–
Final
Illinoisvs#15UCLA
36%
64%
3
6
✓
UCLA −5.3
–
–

Wed, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 8 games

Final
#14Clemsonvs#13California
48%
52%
13
37
✓
CAL −0.4
–
–
Final
NC StatevsEast Carolina
43%
57%
34
37
✓
ECU −2.5
–
–
Final
#6Texas A&Mvs#4Florida State
45%
55%
2
10
✓
FSU −1.6
–
–
Final
#8Nebraskavs#2Miami (FL)
29%
71%
0
22
✓
MIA −8.4
–
–
Final
#5Floridavs#9Notre Dame
58%
42%
28
39
✗
FLA −3.9
–
–
Final
#12Tennesseevs#7Penn State
34%
66%
17
42
✓
PSU −5.9
–
–
Final
Ohio Statevs#19Syracuse
39%
61%
17
24
✓
SYR −4.0
–
–
Final
#3Michiganvs#1Washington
33%
67%
14
34
✓
WASH −6.6
–
–