The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1991

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 38 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 46

Wilder than 46% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 9.4 expected

  • Biggest shockOregon State over Oregon5.8% chance · won 14-3
  • Runner-upMichigan State over Illinois24% chance · won 27-24
  • Runner-upAkron over Temple28% chance · won 37-32

Upsets

Sat, Nov 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 38 games

Final
54%
46%
24
20
✓
AF −2.3
–
–
Final
28%
72%
37
32
✗
TEM −8.7
–
–
Final
31%
68%
14
37
✓
ASU −7.2
–
–
Final
35%
65%
0
20
✓
ARK −5.6
–
–
Final
Baylor@#20TexasUpset
35%
65%
21
11
✗
TEX −5.7
–
–
Final
14%
86%
17
48
✓
BYU −16.8
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Cal State Fullerton
64%
36%
36
37
✗
Long Beach State −6.2
–
–
Final
68%
32%
41
24
✓
CLEM −8.1
–
–
Final
92%
8.4%
17
14
✓
COLO −22.4
–
–
Final
84%
16%
30
19
✓
ECU −16.2
–
–
Final
33%
67%
28
31
✓
FRES −6.7
–
–
Final
18%
82%
22
24
✓
IU −14.5
–
–
Final
4.2%
96%
8
23
✓
IOWA −27.4
–
–
Final
18%
82%
29
53
✓
KU −14.4
–
–
Final
69%
31%
36
26
✓
KSU −8.5
–
–
Final
74%
26%
39
20
✓
LSU −10.9
–
–
Final
54%
46%
21
17
✓
LT −2.2
–
–
Final
94%
5.6%
19
14
✓
MIA −25.8
–
–
Final
14%
86%
3
31
✓
MICH −17.1
–
–
Final
76%
24%
24
27
✗
ILL −11.8
–
–
Final
26%
74%
9
24
✓
MSST −9.6
–
–
Final
25%
75%
14
47
✓
UNC −10.4
–
–
Final
11%
89%
17
20
✓
NCSU −19.3
–
–
Final
5.8%
94%
14
3
✗
ORE −24.8
–
–
Final
Pacific@UNLV
44%
56%
44
23
✗
UNLV −1.8
–
–
Final
52%
48%
21
38
✗
CAL −1.3
–
–
Final
15%
85%
10
16
✓
SYR −16.4
–
–
Final
86%
14%
16
7
✓
TENN −17.4
–
–
Final
0.5%
>99%
6
65
✓
TA&M −40.8
–
–
Final
63%
37%
45
49
✗
HOU −5.8
–
–
Final
14%
86%
21
42
✓
TOL −17.1
–
–
Final
5.6%
94%
13
45
✓
TLSA −25.1
–
–
Final
58%
42%
24
21
✓
UCLA −3.8
–
–
Final
67%
33%
46
21
✓
USU −7.3
–
–
Final
35%
65%
0
38
✓
UVA −5.6
–
–
Final
51%
49%
52
24
✓
WAKE −0.9
–
–
Final
1.2%
99%
21
56
✓
WASH −35.9
–
–
Final
38%
62%
14
32
✓
WIS −4.4
–
–