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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1991

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 48 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 68

Wilder than 68% of weeks in the archive.

13 upsets against 10.3 expected

  • Biggest shockMemphis over Mississippi State19% chance · won 28-23
  • Runner-upVanderbilt over Georgia20% chance · won 27-25
  • Runner-upWashington State over Arizona State22% chance · won 17-3

Upsets

Sat, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Arkansas State@Akron
19%
81%
23
28
✓
AKR −13.4
–
–
Final
#15Tennessee@#13Alabama
38%
62%
19
24
✓
ALA −4.4
–
–
Final
#23Texas@ArkansasUpset
68%
32%
13
14
✗
TEX −7.7
–
–
Final
Army@LouisvilleUpset
22%
78%
37
12
✗
LOU −11.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Bowling Green
34%
66%
21
24
✓
BGSU −6.1
–
–
Final
Hawaii@BYU
14%
86%
18
35
✓
BYU −16.5
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Kent State
74%
26%
23
7
✓
CMU −10.9
–
–
Final
#10Colorado@#8Oklahoma
37%
63%
34
17
✗
OU −4.7
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan
71%
29%
24
42
✗
WMU −9.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@#5Florida
0.2%
>99%
10
41
✓
FLA −46.6
–
–
Final
Fresno State@New Mexico State
95%
4.8%
42
28
✓
FRES −27.0
–
–
Final
SMU@Houston
6.7%
93%
20
49
✓
HOU −23.7
–
–
Final
#21Illinois@#19Iowa
38%
62%
21
24
✓
IOWA −4.5
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Kansas
27%
73%
0
41
✓
KU −9.2
–
–
Final
LSU@Kentucky
45%
55%
29
26
✗
UK −1.5
–
–
Final
Maryland@Wake Forest
73%
27%
23
22
✓
MD −10.3
–
–
Final
Memphis@Mississippi StateUpset
19%
81%
28
23
✗
MSST −13.4
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@#1Miami (FL)
<0.1%
>99%
0
55
✓
MIA −63.0
–
–
Final
Ohio@Miami (OH)
8.3%
92%
0
34
✓
M-OH −21.8
–
–
Final
Indiana@#7Michigan
13%
87%
16
24
✓
MICH −17.6
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Michigan State
49%
51%
12
20
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Missouri
23%
77%
7
41
✓
MIZ −11.2
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#6Nebraska
2.2%
98%
31
38
✓
NEB −31.9
–
–
Final
#4Notre Dame@Air Force
84%
16%
28
15
✓
ND −16.1
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#24Ohio State
4.5%
96%
3
34
✓
OSU −26.9
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#9Penn State
2.6%
97%
17
37
✓
PSU −30.8
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Purdue
32%
68%
7
28
✓
PUR −7.0
–
–
Final
San Diego State@UTEP
70%
30%
28
21
✓
SDSU −8.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@San Jose State
2.6%
97%
47
64
✓
SJSU −30.9
–
–
Final
#18Georgia Tech@South CarolinaUpset
63%
37%
14
23
✗
GT −5.6
–
–
Final
Tulane@Southern Miss
8.9%
91%
14
47
✓
USM −21.1
–
–
Final
Stanford@#25USCUpset
25%
75%
24
21
✗
USC −10.3
–
–
Final
#20Syracuse@Pittsburgh
52%
48%
31
27
✓
SYR −1.5
–
–
Final
Navy@Temple
15%
85%
14
21
✓
TEM −16.4
–
–
Final
#11Texas A&M@#14Baylor
47%
53%
34
12
✗
BAY −0.8
–
–
Final
TCU@Rice
39%
61%
39
28
✗
RICE −3.9
–
–
Final
#22UCLA@Oregon State
95%
5.4%
44
7
✓
UCLA −26.1
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Utah
27%
73%
16
21
✓
UTAH −9.2
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Utah State
3.0%
97%
3
26
✓
USU −29.7
–
–
Final
Georgia@VanderbiltUpset
80%
20%
25
27
✗
UGA −13.8
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Virginia
25%
75%
9
14
✓
UVA −10.2
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Virginia Tech
6.8%
93%
9
56
✓
VT −23.5
–
–
Final
#2Washington@#12California
78%
22%
24
17
✓
WASH −12.7
–
–
Final
Washington State@Arizona StateUpset
22%
78%
17
3
✗
ASU −12.0
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Boston College
43%
57%
31
24
✗
BC −2.4
–
–
Final
Wyoming@New Mexico
71%
29%
39
19
✓
WYO −9.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD Middle Tennessee at #3 Florida State Florida State −46.8 >99%
Sat, Oct 19 · TBD Marshall at #16 NC State NC State −33.4 98%