Week 11 slate, 1991
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1
Chaos 17
Wilder than 17% of weeks in the archive.
11 upsets against 12.2 expected
- Biggest shockTennessee over Notre Dame22% chance · won 35-34
- Runner-upUTEP over Hawaii26% chance · won 41-24
- Runner-upWake Forest over Duke28% chance · won 31-14
Upsets
- Texas 14, Houston 23#22 Texas lost to unranked Houston
- UCLA 10, Stanford 27#13 UCLA lost to unranked Stanford
- Tennessee 35, Notre Dame 34Tennessee won; the model gave them 22% before kickoff
- Virginia 42, NC State 10#21 NC State lost to unranked Virginia
No games match.
Sat, Nov 9
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 48 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 9 · TBD | Troy at |
Troy −4.9 | 61% |
| Sat, Nov 9 · TBD | Middle Tennessee at |
Cincinnati −10.6 | 76% |
| Sat, Nov 9 · TBD | Furman at |
Georgia Tech −40.1 | 99% |
| Sat, Nov 9 · TBD | Southern Illinois at |
Louisiana Tech −30.3 | 97% |