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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1991

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 44 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 1

Chaos 24

Wilder than 24% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 12.7 expected

  • Biggest shockNorthwestern State over Arkansas State8.8% chance · won 28-3
  • Runner-upAir Force over Colorado State27% chance · won 31-26
  • Runner-upKansas over Toledo33% chance · won 30-7

Upsets

Thu, Sep 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#18Tennessee@Louisville
54%
46%
28
11
✓
TENN −2.2
–
–

Sat, Sep 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 37 games

Final
Air Force@Colorado State
27%
73%
31
26
✗
CSU −8.9
–
–
Final
Temple@Alabama
27%
73%
3
41
✓
ALA −9.1
–
–
Final
SMU@Arkansas
23%
77%
6
17
✓
ARK −10.7
–
–
Final
Ball State@Navy
47%
53%
33
10
✗
NAVY −0.7
–
–
Final
UTEP@Baylor
27%
73%
7
27
✓
BAY −9.1
–
–
Final
Pacific@California
2.6%
97%
24
86
✓
CAL −30.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Central Michigan
31%
69%
24
27
✓
CMU −7.3
–
–
Final
Wyoming@#8Colorado
18%
82%
13
30
✓
COLO −13.7
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Duke
50%
50%
24
24
✗
SC −0.4
–
–
Final
#22San Jose State@#21Florida
41%
59%
21
59
✓
FLA −3.1
–
–
Final
Tulane@#3Florida State
5.3%
95%
11
38
✓
FSU −24.8
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Fresno State
39%
61%
7
55
✓
FRES −3.9
–
–
Final
LSU@Georgia
40%
60%
10
31
✓
UGA −3.4
–
–
Final
#7Hawaii@IowaUpset
53%
47%
10
53
✗
HAW −1.6
–
–
Final
Kansas@Toledo
33%
67%
30
7
✗
TOL −6.2
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Kentucky
40%
60%
20
23
✓
UK −3.6
–
–
Final
#20Virginia@MarylandUpset
57%
42%
6
17
✗
UVA −3.4
–
–
Final
#9Michigan@Boston College
72%
28%
35
13
✓
MICH −9.7
–
–
Final
#19Ole Miss@Memphis
48%
52%
10
0
✗
MEM −0.2
–
–
Final
#23Texas@Mississippi StateUpset
54%
46%
6
13
✗
TEX −2.2
–
–
Final
Utah State@#13Nebraska
13%
87%
28
59
✓
NEB −17.1
–
–
Final
#12Virginia Tech@NC StateUpset
56%
44%
0
7
✗
VT −2.8
–
–
Final
Indiana@#16Notre Dame
28%
72%
27
49
✓
ND −8.5
–
–
Final
Arizona@Ohio State
33%
67%
14
38
✓
OSU −6.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon
29%
71%
14
40
✓
ORE −8.0
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#4Penn State
4.1%
96%
0
81
✓
PSU −26.8
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#14Pittsburgh
29%
71%
14
35
✓
PITT −8.2
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Purdue
30%
70%
3
49
✓
PUR −7.8
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Syracuse
13%
87%
10
37
✓
SYR −16.7
–
–
Final
New Mexico@TCU
26%
74%
7
60
✓
TCU −9.5
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Texas Tech
0.8%
99%
7
41
✓
TTU −37.6
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Tulsa
44%
56%
7
13
✓
TLSA −2.0
–
–
Final
#11BYU@UCLAUpset
59%
41%
23
27
✗
BYU −4.0
–
–
Final
Utah@Oregon State
49%
51%
22
10
✗
UTAH −0.2
–
–
Final
#5Washington@Stanford
64%
36%
42
7
✓
WASH −6.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@West Virginia
44%
56%
17
24
✓
WVU −1.8
–
–
Final
Akron@Western Michigan
39%
61%
12
35
✓
WMU −3.7
–
–

Sun, Sep 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Long Beach State@San Diego State
5.0%
95%
13
49
✓
SDSU −25.3
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Appalachian State at #15 Clemson Clemson −18.3 89%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Eastern Illinois at Iowa State Iowa State −25.0 95%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Indiana State at Kansas State Kansas State −31.3 98%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD UNLV at Nevada Nevada −7.5 70%
Sat, Sep 7 · TBD Northwestern State at Arkansas State Arkansas State −20.6 91%