The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1978

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 15 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

4 upsets against 6.1 expected

  • Biggest shockNC State over Pittsburgh38% chance · won 30-17
  • Runner-upNavy over BYU47% chance · won 23-16
  • Runner-upUSC over Michigan48% chance · won 17-10

Upsets

Sat, Dec 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
RutgersvsArizona State
41%
59%
18
34
✓
ASU −3.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana TechvsEast Carolina
36%
64%
13
35
✓
ECU −5.4
–
–

Wed, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Iowa StatevsTexas A&M
42%
58%
12
28
✓
TA&M −2.8
–
–

Fri, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#22BYUvsNavyUpset
53%
47%
16
23
✗
BYU −1.5
–
–

Sat, Dec 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
#24LSUvs#18Missouri
42%
58%
15
20
✓
MIZ −2.6
–
–
Final
#16PittsburghvsNC StateUpset
62%
38%
17
30
✗
PITT −5.1
–
–
Final
#15Marylandvs#11Texas
44%
56%
0
42
✓
TEX −1.9
–
–

Mon, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
PurduevsGeorgia Tech
57%
43%
41
21
✓
PUR −3.4
–
–
Final
#8Arkansasvs#23UCLA
70%
30%
10
10
✓
ARK −8.6
–
–

Fri, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#20Ohio Statevs#9Clemson
33%
67%
15
17
✓
CLEM −6.4
–
–

Sun, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Georgiavs#19Stanford
39%
61%
22
25
✓
STAN −3.8
–
–

Mon, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
#2Penn Statevs#3Alabama
51%
49%
7
14
✗
PSU −0.9
–
–
Final
#12Houstonvs#7Notre Dame
39%
61%
34
35
✓
ND −4.0
–
–
Final
#5Nebraskavs#1Oklahoma
40%
60%
24
31
✓
OU −3.5
–
–
Final
#4Michiganvs#6USC
52%
48%
10
17
✗
MICH −1.4
–
–