Week 8 slate, 1978

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 66 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Sat, Oct 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 60 games

Final

#4Alabama@Tennessee

86%
14%

30
17

✓

ALA −17.6

–

–

Final

The Citadel@Appalachian State

41%
59%

14
42

✓

APP −3.1

–

–

Final

McNeese@Arkansas State

55%
45%

3
6

✗

McNeese −2.4

–

–

Final

#16Ball State@Illinois State

99%
1.2%

14
7

✓

BALL −36.6

–

–

Final

Baylor@#9Texas A&MUpset

13%
87%

24
6

✗

TA&M −17.2

–

–

Final

UTEP@BYU

5.3%
95%

0
44

✓

BYU −25.6

–

–

Final

Brown@Cornell

52%
48%

21
13

✓

Brown −1.2

–

–

Final

Cal State Fullerton@Long Beach StateUpset

12%
88%

34
9

✗

Long Beach State −18.4

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Central Michigan

7.8%
92%

7
34

✓

CMU −22.3

–

–

Final

Chattanooga@Furman

73%
27%

13
9

✓

Chattanooga −10.2

–

–

Final

Duke@#12Clemson

13%
87%

8
28

✓

CLEM −17.7

–

–

Final

Yale@Columbia

78%
22%

3
3

✓

Yale −13.0

–

–

Final

Army@Florida

13%
87%

7
31

✓

FLA −17.2

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@Georgia

4.9%
95%

10
31

✓

UGA −26.1

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@#24AuburnUpset

25%
75%

24
10

✗

AUB −10.3

–

–

Final

Dartmouth@Harvard

43%
57%

19
24

✓

Harvard −2.2

–

–

Final

#18Houston@SMU

49%
51%

42
28

✗

PK

–

–

Final

Marshall@Kent State

20%
80%

17
20

✓

KENT −13.2

–

–

Final

LSU@Kentucky

46%
54%

21
0

✗

UK −1.2

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@#10Maryland

3.6%
96%

0
39

✓

MD −28.5

–

–

Final

Utah State@Miami (FL)

40%
60%

16
17

✓

MIA −3.4

–

–

Final

Bowling Green@Miami (OH)

47%
53%

7
18

✓

M-OH −0.6

–

–

Final

#5Michigan@Wisconsin

84%
16%

42
0

✓

MICH −16.3

–

–

Final

Indiana@Michigan State

15%
86%

14
49

✓

MSU −16.4

–

–

Final

Minnesota@Northwestern

84%
16%

38
14

✓

MINN −16.2

–

–

Final

#20Missouri@Kansas State

83%
17%

56
14

✓

MIZ −15.5

–

–

Final

William & Mary@#13Navy

16%
84%

0
9

✓

NAVY −15.5

–

–

Final

#2Nebraska@Colorado

75%
25%

52
14

✓

NEB −11.1

–

–

Final

UNLV@Colorado State

30%
70%

33
6

✗

CSU −8.0

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@New Mexico

27%
73%

20
35

✓

UNM −9.4

–

–

Final

NC State@North Carolina

41%
59%

34
7

✗

UNC −3.1

–

–

Final

#14Notre Dame@Air Force

93%
7.0%

38
15

✓

ND −24.0

–

–

Final

Iowa@#25Ohio State

8.6%
91%

7
31

✓

OSU −21.5

–

–

Final

#3Oklahoma@Iowa State

78%
22%

34
6

✓

OU −12.9

–

–

Final

Kansas@Oklahoma State

34%
66%

7
21

✓

OKST −6.2

–

–

Final

Syracuse@#1Penn State

2.0%
98%

15
45

✓

PSU −32.8

–

–

Final

#23Florida State@#8Pittsburgh

26%
74%

3
7

✓

PITT −9.9

–

–

Final

Colgate@Princeton

62%
38%

12
13

✗

Colgate −5.2

–

–

Final

Purdue@Illinois

81%
19%

13
0

✓

PUR −14.3

–

–

Final

Villanova@Rutgers

15%
85%

9
24

✓

RUTG −15.9

–

–

Final

Pacific@San Diego State

20%
80%

28
31

✓

SDSU −13.2

–

–

Final

Fresno State@San Jose State

54%
46%

16
26

✗

FRES −2.1

–

–

Final

Ole Miss@South Carolina

14%
86%

17
18

✓

SC −16.9

–

–

Final

Oregon State@#6USC

4.1%
96%

7
38

✓

USC −27.6

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@Memphis

55%
45%

13
10

✓

USM −2.5

–

–

Final

Stanford@Washington State

43%
57%

43
27

✗

WSU −2.1

–

–

Final

West Virginia@Temple

13%
87%

27
28

✓

TEM −17.7

–

–

Final

#11Arkansas@#7Texas

38%
62%

21
28

✓

TEX −4.2

–

–

Final

TCU@TulaneUpset

10%
90%

13
7

✗

TULN −19.7

–

–

Final

Texas Tech@Rice

88%
12%

42
28

✓

TTU −19.0

–

–

Final

Texas-Arlington@Lamar

81%
19%

37
17

✓

Texas-Arlington −14.2

–

–

Final

Toledo@Ohio

26%
74%

28
14

✗

OHIO −9.9

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Cincinnati

38%
62%

27
26

✗

CIN −4.6

–

–

Final

#22UCLA@#21California

41%
59%

45
0

✗

CAL −3.2

–

–

Final

Virginia Tech@Virginia

70%
30%

7
17

✗

VT −8.9

–

–

Final

Oregon@#17Washington

5.6%
94%

14
20

✓

WASH −25.0

–

–

Final

West Texas@Indiana State

42%
58%

36
7

✗

Indiana State −2.5

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Western Michigan

20%
80%

0
32

✓

WMU −12.8

–

–

Final

Southern Illinois@Wichita State

32%
68%

7
33

✓

Wichita State −6.9

–

–

Final

Utah@Wyoming

54%
46%

21
34

✗

UTAH −2.1

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 21 · TBD	Pennsylvania at Lafayette	Pennsylvania −13.4	79%
Sat, Oct 21 · TBD	Lehigh at VMI	VMI −2.3	57%
Sat, Oct 21 · TBD	Louisiana Tech at Northwestern State	Louisiana Tech −20.6	90%
Sat, Oct 21 · TBD	Boston University at Louisville	Louisville −30.6	97%
Sat, Oct 21 · TBD	SE Louisiana at Louisiana-Monroe	Louisiana-Monroe −5.9	66%
Sat, Oct 21 · TBD	Western Carolina at Wofford	Western Carolina −9.4	71%