The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 16 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 44

Wilder than 44% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 6.7 expected

  • Biggest shockAir Force over Vanderbilt36% chance · won 36-28
  • Runner-upSMU over Pittsburgh42% chance · won 7-3
  • Runner-upWashington over Maryland43% chance · won 21-20

Sat, Dec 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Kansas StatevsWisconsin
45%
55%
3
14
✓
WIS −1.6
–
–

Fri, Dec 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#14BYUvs#23Ohio State
56%
44%
17
47
✗
BYU −2.9
–
–

Sat, Dec 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Boston CollegevsAuburn
40%
60%
26
33
✓
AUB −3.7
–
–
Final
Bowling GreenvsFresno State
51%
49%
28
29
✗
BGSU −0.8
–
–

Sat, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#6Texasvs#9North Carolina
55%
44%
10
26
✗
TEX −2.7
–
–
Final
#8Marylandvs#22Washington
57%
43%
20
21
✗
MD −3.2
–
–

Wed, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Illinoisvs#13Alabama
35%
65%
15
21
✓
ALA −5.7
–
–

Thu, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#15West Virginiavs#18Florida State
50%
50%
12
31
✓
WVU −0.3
–
–

Fri, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
VanderbiltvsAir Force
64%
36%
28
36
✗
VAN −6.1
–
–
Final
#24Floridavs#21Arkansas
44%
56%
24
28
✓
ARK −1.9
–
–
Final
TennesseevsIowa
50%
50%
22
28
✗
TENN −0.6
–
–

Sat, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final
#11Oklahomavs#17Arizona State
53%
47%
21
32
✗
OU −1.7
–
–
Final
#20LSUvs#1Nebraska
20%
80%
20
21
✓
NEB −13.1
–
–
Final
#4Georgiavs#2Penn State
36%
64%
23
27
✓
PSU −5.1
–
–
Final
#3Pittsburghvs#12SMU
58%
42%
3
7
✗
PITT −3.6
–
–
Final
#10Michiganvs#7UCLA
45%
55%
14
24
✓
UCLA −1.5
–
–