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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 53

Wilder than 53% of weeks in the archive.

14 upsets against 11.4 expected

  • Biggest shockOregon over Notre Dame10% chance · won 13-13
  • Runner-upBall State over Western Michigan16% chance · won 13-6
  • Runner-upOhio over Miami (OH)24% chance · won 20-0

Upsets

Sat, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 43 games

Final
Air Force@UTEP
76%
24%
35
7
✓
AF −11.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@Arizona
2.7%
97%
7
55
✓
ARIZ −30.5
–
–
Final
#14Arkansas@Houston
70%
30%
38
3
✓
ARK −8.6
–
–
Final
Auburn@Mississippi State
42%
58%
35
17
✗
MSST −2.6
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ball StateUpset
84%
16%
6
13
✗
WMU −16.5
–
–
Final
#25Boston College@Army
96%
4.5%
32
17
✓
BC −27.5
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#11BYU
4.2%
96%
18
34
✓
BYU −27.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Kent State
81%
19%
31
20
✓
CMU −14.6
–
–
Final
#13Clemson@NC State
75%
25%
38
29
✓
CLEM −11.4
–
–
Final
Fresno State@San Jose State
32%
68%
39
27
✗
SJSU −7.0
–
–
Final
#5Georgia@Kentucky
94%
5.9%
27
14
✓
UGA −25.4
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Georgia Tech
72%
28%
21
31
✗
TENN −9.6
–
–
Final
Illinois@Wisconsin
62%
38%
29
28
✓
ILL −5.1
–
–
Final
Iowa@Minnesota
46%
54%
21
16
✗
MINN −0.9
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Colorado
77%
23%
31
14
✓
ISU −12.1
–
–
Final
Kansas@Kansas State
34%
66%
7
36
✓
KSU −6.1
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#23LSU
23%
77%
6
14
✓
LSU −11.4
–
–
Final
Duke@#17Maryland
18%
82%
22
49
✓
MD −14.1
–
–
Final
#16Michigan@Northwestern
96%
3.8%
49
14
✓
MICH −28.7
–
–
Final
Missouri@#1Nebraska
6.8%
93%
19
23
✓
NEB −23.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@New Mexico
5.2%
95%
14
66
✓
UNM −25.6
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Northern Illinois
30%
70%
0
10
✓
NIU −7.9
–
–
Final
Oregon@#24Notre Dame
10.0%
90%
13
13
✗
ND −20.1
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@OhioUpset
76%
24%
0
20
✗
M-OH −11.9
–
–
Final
Ohio State@Indiana
58%
42%
49
25
✓
OSU −3.6
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#21Oklahoma
15%
85%
9
27
✓
OU −16.3
–
–
Final
#6Penn State@#15West Virginia
55%
45%
24
0
✓
PSU −2.4
–
–
Final
#2Pittsburgh@Syracuse
94%
5.9%
14
0
✓
PITT −25.5
–
–
Final
Purdue@Michigan State
32%
68%
24
21
✗
MSU −6.9
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@San Diego State
20%
80%
17
51
✓
SDSU −12.9
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#7USC
0.9%
99%
0
38
✓
USC −37.7
–
–
Final
#20SMU@#18Texas
44%
56%
30
17
✗
TEX −2.0
–
–
Final
Louisville@Southern Miss
12%
88%
0
48
✓
USM −18.3
–
–
Final
Stanford@Washington State
78%
22%
31
26
✓
STAN −12.9
–
–
Final
Rice@Texas A&M
13%
87%
7
49
✓
TA&M −17.9
–
–
Final
Baylor@TCU
61%
39%
14
38
✗
BAY −5.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Toledo
61%
39%
10
24
✗
BGSU −5.0
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tulane
23%
77%
10
17
✓
TULN −11.3
–
–
Final
#9UCLA@California
80%
20%
47
31
✓
UCLA −13.8
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Vanderbilt
46%
54%
10
19
✓
VAN −1.2
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Virginia
68%
32%
27
34
✗
WAKE −8.0
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#12Washington
9.5%
90%
3
10
✓
WASH −20.6
–
–
Final
Utah@Wyoming
58%
42%
13
16
✗
UTAH −3.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Cincinnati at #4 Alabama Alabama −21.7 92%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Illinois State at East Carolina East Carolina −32.4 98%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Lamar at Louisiana Louisiana −22.2 92%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD The Citadel at Navy Navy −24.9 94%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Nevada at Cal State Fullerton Nevada −19.2 88%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Colgate at Rutgers Rutgers −11.7 78%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Tulsa at Drake Tulsa −20.2 89%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Appalachian State at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −14.6 83%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD North Texas at West Texas North Texas −6.7 65%
Sat, Oct 23 · TBD Texas-Arlington at Wichita State Wichita State −10.8 76%