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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 11 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 40

Wilder than 40% of weeks in the archive.

15 upsets against 12.3 expected

  • Biggest shockColgate over Temple3.8% chance · won 24-17
  • Runner-upSouthern Miss over Alabama28% chance · won 38-29
  • Runner-upNorthern Illinois over Miami (OH)31% chance · won 12-7

Upsets

Thu, Nov 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#20West Virginia@Rutgers
85%
15%
44
17
✓
WVU −17.2
–
–

Sat, Nov 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Texas A&M@#17Arkansas
15%
86%
0
35
✓
ARK −16.5
–
–
Final
Baylor@Rice
75%
25%
35
13
✓
BAY −11.3
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Boston College
23%
77%
13
20
✓
BC −11.5
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Bowling Green
5.3%
95%
7
24
✓
BGSU −25.5
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#22BYU
12%
88%
8
58
✓
BYU −18.4
–
–
Final
Washington State@California
28%
72%
14
34
✓
CAL −9.0
–
–
Final
Ball State@Central Michigan
19%
81%
13
24
✓
CMU −13.6
–
–
Final
#15Clemson@#11Maryland
40%
60%
24
22
✗
MD −3.7
–
–
Final
Kansas@Colorado
55%
44%
3
28
✗
KU −2.7
–
–
Final
Florida@Kentucky
81%
19%
39
13
✓
FLA −14.5
–
–
Final
Louisville@#9Florida State
2.5%
98%
14
49
✓
FSU −31.2
–
–
Final
#4Georgia@Auburn
67%
33%
19
14
✓
UGA −7.6
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Wake Forest
44%
56%
45
7
✗
WAKE −2.1
–
–
Final
Illinois@Indiana
64%
36%
48
7
✓
ILL −6.2
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Iowa
45%
55%
14
28
✓
IOWA −1.6
–
–
Final
UNLV@Long Beach State
60%
40%
13
24
✗
UNLV −4.4
–
–
Final
Purdue@#10Michigan
6.3%
94%
21
52
✓
MICH −24.1
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Minnesota
45%
55%
26
7
✗
MINN −1.3
–
–
Final
#19LSU@Mississippi StateUpset
64%
36%
24
27
✗
LSU −6.2
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Iowa State
90%
9.5%
48
10
✓
NEB −21.3
–
–
Final
Colorado State@New Mexico
15%
85%
24
29
✓
UNM −16.2
–
–
Final
Virginia@#6North Carolina
1.7%
98%
14
27
✓
UNC −33.9
–
–
Final
Duke@NC State
44%
56%
16
21
✓
NCSU −1.9
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Northern Illinois
69%
31%
7
12
✗
M-OH −8.3
–
–
Final
#24Ohio State@Northwestern
94%
5.9%
40
28
✓
OSU −25.4
–
–
Final
Missouri@#16Oklahoma
22%
78%
14
41
✓
OU −11.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Kansas State
32%
68%
24
16
✗
KSU −7.0
–
–
Final
#2Penn State@#23Notre Dame
74%
26%
24
14
✓
PSU −10.8
–
–
Final
#3Pittsburgh@Army
99%
1.0%
24
6
✓
PITT −37.8
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Pacific
91%
9.2%
31
0
✓
SJSU −21.7
–
–
Final
Navy@South Carolina
50%
50%
14
17
✗
NAVY −0.6
–
–
Final
#5USC@Arizona
68%
32%
48
41
✓
USC −7.7
–
–
Final
#12SMU@Texas Tech
84%
16%
34
27
✓
SMU −16.6
–
–
Final
#25Southern Miss@#8Alabama
28%
72%
38
29
✗
ALA −8.9
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Ole Miss
44%
56%
30
17
✗
MISS −1.7
–
–
Final
#13Texas@TCU
85%
15%
38
21
✓
TEX −16.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Kent State
81%
19%
3
0
✓
TOL −14.4
–
–
Final
Stanford@#7UCLA
20%
80%
35
38
✓
UCLA −13.1
–
–
Final
Utah@UTEP
91%
9.4%
45
30
✓
UTAH −21.4
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Vanderbilt
46%
54%
0
45
✓
VAN −1.2
–
–
Final
#21Washington@#14Arizona State
36%
64%
17
13
✗
ASU −5.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@West Texas
50%
50%
28
30
✗
NMSU −0.7
–
–
Final
Ohio@Western Michigan
14%
86%
7
16
✓
WMU −16.9
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Wyoming
25%
75%
20
24
✓
WYO −10.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD Utah State at Boise State Boise State −12.8 80%
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD Temple at Colgate Temple −28.7 96%
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD East Carolina at William & Mary East Carolina −19.6 88%
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD Montana State at Fresno State Fresno State −21.9 92%
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD Louisiana Tech at Louisiana Louisiana Tech −1.9 53%
Sat, Nov 13 · TBD Indiana State at Tulsa Tulsa −22.5 92%