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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 6 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 57

Wilder than 57% of weeks in the archive.

14 upsets against 13.2 expected

  • Biggest shockNorthwestern over Minnesota5.6% chance · won 31-21
  • Runner-upSan Diego State over Wyoming24% chance · won 24-21
  • Runner-upGeorgia Tech over Tulane28% chance · won 19-13

Upsets

Sat, Oct 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Navy@Air Force
53%
47%
21
24
✗
NAVY −1.1
–
–
Final
#3Penn State@#6Alabama
51%
49%
21
42
✗
PSU −0.4
–
–
Final
#8UCLA@Arizona
82%
18%
24
24
✓
UCLA −14.8
–
–
Final
Stanford@#5Arizona State
21%
79%
17
21
✓
ASU −13.3
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#12Arkansas
14%
86%
3
21
✓
ARK −17.9
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Auburn
22%
78%
3
18
✓
AUB −13.1
–
–
Final
#15BYU@New Mexico
55%
45%
40
12
✓
BYU −1.9
–
–
Final
#23Clemson@Virginia
90%
10%
48
0
✓
CLEM −21.2
–
–
Final
Pacific@Fresno State
8.8%
91%
30
49
✓
FRES −22.5
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#7Georgia
14%
86%
10
33
✓
UGA −18.2
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Tulane
28%
72%
19
13
✗
TULN −9.8
–
–
Final
Utah@Hawaii
50%
50%
7
10
✓
HAW −0.2
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@Houston
38%
62%
20
24
✓
HOU −5.1
–
–
Final
Purdue@#18Illinois
11%
89%
34
38
✓
ILL −20.3
–
–
Final
Iowa@Indiana
58%
42%
24
20
✓
IOWA −3.3
–
–
Final
Kent State@Iowa State
13%
87%
7
44
✓
ISU −18.9
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Kansas
50%
50%
24
24
✓
OKST −0.1
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Miami (OH)
48%
52%
12
17
✓
M-OH −0.8
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#20Michigan
21%
79%
17
31
✓
MICH −13.4
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Missouri
31%
69%
7
7
✗
MIZ −8.3
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Colorado
97%
2.8%
40
14
✓
NEB −31.7
–
–
Final
UTEP@UNLV
30%
70%
21
28
✓
UNLV −8.7
–
–
Final
#4North Carolina@Wake Forest
93%
6.9%
24
7
✓
UNC −24.6
–
–
Final
Minnesota@NorthwesternUpset
94%
5.6%
21
31
✗
MINN −26.3
–
–
Final
#9Miami (FL)@#22Notre Dame
60%
40%
14
16
✗
MIA −3.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@Ball State
53%
47%
34
7
✓
OHIO −1.3
–
–
Final
#13Texas@#24Oklahoma
58%
42%
22
28
✗
TEX −3.4
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon State
77%
23%
14
14
✓
WSU −12.3
–
–
Final
Army@Rutgers
26%
74%
3
24
✓
RUTG −10.6
–
–
Final
San Diego State@WyomingUpset
24%
76%
24
21
✗
WYO −11.8
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Cal State Fullerton
92%
8.1%
38
15
✓
SJSU −23.2
–
–
Final
#11SMU@Baylor
76%
24%
22
19
✓
SMU −11.5
–
–
Final
#25Mississippi State@Southern MissUpset
55%
45%
14
20
✗
MSST −1.8
–
–
Final
Temple@Louisville
70%
30%
55
14
✓
TEM −8.4
–
–
Final
LSU@Tennessee
66%
34%
24
24
✓
LSU −6.5
–
–
Final
Rice@TCU
21%
79%
16
24
✓
TCU −13.3
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Toledo
9.8%
90%
19
20
✓
TOL −21.6
–
–
Final
Tulsa@New Mexico State
88%
12%
31
14
✓
TLSA −19.4
–
–
Final
#21Florida@VanderbiltUpset
70%
30%
29
31
✗
FLA −8.4
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Duke
37%
63%
22
21
✗
DUKE −5.7
–
–
Final
California@#17Washington
31%
69%
7
50
✓
WASH −8.2
–
–
Final
#19Boston College@#14West Virginia
40%
60%
13
20
✓
WVU −4.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
34%
66%
18
18
✗
WMU −6.9
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Ohio State
30%
70%
6
0
✗
OSU −9.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Arkansas State at Louisiana Louisiana −5.4 63%
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Long Beach State at Cincinnati Cincinnati −19.7 88%
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Richmond at East Carolina East Carolina −20.3 89%
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Southern Illinois at Florida State Florida State −28.0 95%
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Indiana State at #16 Maryland Maryland −30.3 97%
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Idaho State at Utah State Utah State −16.8 84%
Sat, Oct 9 · TBD Wichita State at Illinois State Wichita State −17.5 86%