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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 20 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 64

Wilder than 64% of weeks in the archive.

6 upsets against 5.0 expected

  • Biggest shockTulane over LSU6.9% chance · won 31-28
  • Runner-upMemphis over Arkansas State36% chance · won 12-0
  • Runner-upArizona over Arizona State39% chance · won 28-18

Upsets

Thu, Nov 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
Bowling Green@#11North Carolina
10%
90%
14
33
✓
UNC −19.8
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#9Texas
11%
89%
16
53
✓
TEX −19.0
–
–
Final
Virginia@Virginia Tech
17%
83%
14
21
✓
VT −14.5
–
–

Fri, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#15Oklahoma@#1Nebraska
16%
84%
24
28
✓
NEB −15.4
–
–
Final
#3Pittsburgh@#2Penn State
31%
70%
10
19
✓
PSU −7.7
–
–

Sat, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 13 games

Final
#16Arizona State@ArizonaUpset
61%
39%
18
28
✗
ASU −4.8
–
–
Final
#10Alabama@AuburnUpset
58%
42%
22
23
✗
ALA −3.5
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#14Clemson
3.1%
97%
17
21
✓
CLEM −29.6
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#5Georgia
4.4%
96%
18
38
✓
UGA −27.0
–
–
Final
Air Force@Hawaii
49%
51%
21
45
✓
AF −0.2
–
–
Final
Rice@Houston
11%
89%
21
28
✓
HOU −19.2
–
–
Final
Utah State@Long Beach State
52%
48%
17
44
✗
USU −1.5
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@UNLV
23%
77%
23
42
✓
UNLV −11.2
–
–
Final
Oregon@Oregon State
63%
37%
7
6
✓
ORE −5.7
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@San Diego State
54%
46%
6
35
✗
OKST −2.1
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@#4USC
20%
80%
13
17
✓
USC −13.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@#13LSUUpset
6.9%
93%
31
28
✗
LSU −23.4
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Vanderbilt
41%
59%
21
28
✓
VAN −3.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 27 · TBD Arkansas State at Memphis Arkansas State −6.2 64%
Sat, Nov 27 · TBD Cincinnati at #17 Miami (FL) Miami (FL) −21.3 91%