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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 55 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 88

Wilder than 88% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 12.1 expected

  • Biggest shockCal State Fullerton over Wyoming5.8% chance · won 20-16
  • Runner-upFurman over South Carolina6.3% chance · won 28-23
  • Runner-upLong Beach State over San Jose State6.3% chance · won 22-21

Upsets

Sat, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
Arizona@#21Notre DameUpset
27%
73%
16
13
✗
ND −10.4
–
–
Final
UTEP@#7Arizona State
0.9%
99%
6
37
✓
ASU −39.6
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Auburn
21%
78%
0
24
✓
AUB −13.2
–
–
Final
Ball State@Kent State
37%
63%
21
3
✗
KENT −5.8
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#20Boston College
10%
90%
13
14
✓
BC −20.9
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Bowling Green
8.8%
91%
18
20
✓
BGSU −22.6
–
–
Final
Hawaii@#9BYU
15%
85%
25
39
✓
BYU −17.1
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@WyomingUpset
5.8%
94%
20
16
✗
WYO −26.1
–
–
Final
Oregon@California
20%
80%
7
10
✓
CAL −14.0
–
–
Final
Toledo@Central Michigan
38%
62%
12
16
✓
CMU −5.3
–
–
Final
Duke@#18Clemson
26%
74%
14
49
✓
CLEM −10.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Colorado
64%
36%
25
25
✓
OKST −6.1
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Air Force
26%
74%
21
11
✗
AF −11.0
–
–
Final
West Texas@#25Florida
3.0%
97%
14
77
✓
FLA −31.2
–
–
Final
East Carolina@#24Florida State
19%
81%
17
56
✓
FSU −14.4
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#5Georgia
12%
88%
13
27
✓
UGA −19.9
–
–
Final
Indiana@Minnesota
29%
72%
40
21
✗
MINN −9.5
–
–
Final
Missouri@Iowa State
42%
58%
17
17
✗
ISU −3.4
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@San Jose StateUpset
6.3%
94%
22
21
✗
SJSU −25.5
–
–
Final
LSU@Kentucky
78%
22%
34
10
✓
LSU −13.0
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#16Maryland
9.3%
91%
31
52
✓
MD −22.0
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#11Miami (FL)
30%
70%
14
31
✓
MIA −9.0
–
–
Final
#19Michigan@Iowa
63%
37%
29
7
✓
MICH −5.4
–
–
Final
TCU@Ole Miss
34%
66%
9
27
✓
MISS −6.9
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#1Nebraska
4.9%
95%
13
42
✓
NEB −27.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico@San Diego State
72%
28%
22
17
✓
UNM −9.6
–
–
Final
NC State@#4North Carolina
12%
88%
9
41
✓
UNC −19.2
–
–
Final
Ohio@Eastern Michigan
68%
32%
14
13
✓
OHIO −7.8
–
–
Final
Ohio State@#23IllinoisUpset
34%
66%
26
21
✗
ILL −7.1
–
–
Final
#22Oklahoma@Kansas
76%
24%
38
14
✓
OU −11.5
–
–
Final
Syracuse@#6Penn State
6.7%
93%
7
28
✓
PSU −24.9
–
–
Final
Temple@#3Pittsburgh
15%
85%
7
38
✓
PITT −17.5
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Purdue
22%
78%
21
34
✓
PUR −12.8
–
–
Final
#12USC@Stanford
59%
41%
41
21
✓
USC −3.7
–
–
Final
Houston@#15SMU
23%
77%
14
20
✓
SMU −12.3
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Tulane
67%
33%
22
10
✓
USM −7.2
–
–
Final
#2Alabama@TennesseeUpset
87%
13%
28
35
✗
ALA −18.9
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas A&M
46%
54%
23
28
✓
TA&M −1.6
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Rice
75%
25%
23
21
✓
TTU −10.9
–
–
Final
Washington State@#10UCLA
6.2%
94%
17
42
✓
UCLA −25.6
–
–
Final
UNLV@Utah
15%
86%
14
24
✓
UTAH −17.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@Utah State
14%
86%
12
14
✓
USU −18.3
–
–
Final
#8Washington@Oregon State
98%
2.3%
34
17
✓
WASH −33.0
–
–
Final
#14West Virginia@Virginia Tech
72%
28%
16
6
✓
WVU −9.7
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Western Michigan
54%
46%
0
10
✗
M-OH −1.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Wichita State
25%
75%
26
28
✓
Wichita State −11.4
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Wisconsin
38%
62%
23
24
✓
WIS −5.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Army at Princeton Army −6.7 66%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Cincinnati at Memphis Cincinnati −9.2 71%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Furman at South Carolina South Carolina −25.5 94%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Richmond at Louisville Louisville −11.8 76%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD William & Mary at Navy Navy −28.3 96%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Fresno State at Nevada Nevada −4.0 59%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Louisiana at Texas-Arlington Louisiana −15.2 82%
Sat, Oct 16 · TBD Southern Illinois at Tulsa Tulsa −25.5 94%