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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 9 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 14

Wilder than 14% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 13.3 expected

  • Biggest shockUtah State over BYU7.3% chance · won 20-17
  • Runner-upMaryland over North Carolina29% chance · won 31-24
  • Runner-upOklahoma State over Missouri34% chance · won 30-20

Upsets

Sat, Oct 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Wyoming@Air Force
45%
55%
34
44
✓
AF −1.6
–
–
Final
#5Alabama@Mississippi State
76%
24%
20
12
✓
ALA −11.6
–
–
Final
Arizona@Washington State
75%
25%
34
17
✓
ARIZ −11.1
–
–
Final
#6USC@#10Arizona State
46%
54%
10
17
✓
ASU −1.1
–
–
Final
Rice@#7Arkansas
1.2%
99%
6
24
✓
ARK −36.1
–
–
Final
Ball State@Eastern Michigan
58%
42%
16
7
✓
BALL −3.8
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Kent State
84%
16%
41
7
✓
BGSU −16.5
–
–
Final
California@Oregon State
84%
16%
28
14
✓
CAL −16.4
–
–
Final
Ohio@Central Michigan
31%
69%
18
42
✓
CMU −7.6
–
–
Final
UTEP@Colorado State
19%
81%
13
38
✓
CSU −13.7
–
–
Final
Duke@Georgia Tech
58%
42%
38
21
✓
DUKE −3.8
–
–
Final
Auburn@#21Florida
37%
63%
17
19
✓
FLA −4.7
–
–
Final
#18Florida State@#12Miami (FL)
38%
62%
24
7
✗
MIA −4.4
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Fresno State
12%
88%
22
40
✓
FRES −18.6
–
–
Final
Memphis@#8Georgia
2.0%
98%
3
34
✓
UGA −32.6
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Hawaii
6.0%
94%
3
9
✓
HAW −24.5
–
–
Final
TCU@Houston
34%
66%
27
31
✓
HOU −6.2
–
–
Final
Illinois@Iowa
57%
43%
13
14
✗
ILL −3.4
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Iowa State
34%
66%
9
3
✗
ISU −6.0
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#23LSU
26%
74%
8
45
✓
LSU −9.7
–
–
Final
#13Maryland@#3North Carolina
29%
71%
31
24
✗
UNC −8.4
–
–
Final
Toledo@Miami (OH)
41%
59%
17
21
✓
M-OH −3.1
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#15Michigan
15%
85%
14
52
✓
MICH −15.9
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Indiana
43%
57%
22
14
✗
IU −2.4
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Kansas
96%
3.5%
52
0
✓
NEB −29.3
–
–
Final
South Carolina@NC State
41%
59%
3
33
✓
NCSU −3.2
–
–
Final
Navy@Notre Dame
26%
74%
10
27
✓
ND −9.9
–
–
Final
Purdue@Ohio State
16%
84%
6
38
✓
OSU −15.3
–
–
Final
#19Oklahoma@Colorado
89%
11%
45
10
✓
OU −20.3
–
–
Final
Missouri@Oklahoma State
66%
34%
20
30
✗
MIZ −7.1
–
–
Final
#4Penn State@#25Boston College
72%
28%
52
17
✓
PSU −9.8
–
–
Final
Louisville@#2Pittsburgh
1.2%
99%
14
63
✓
PITT −35.8
–
–
Final
Utah@San Diego State
59%
41%
17
21
✗
UTAH −4.1
–
–
Final
San Jose State@UNLV
66%
34%
48
14
✓
SJSU −7.2
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#17SMU
20%
80%
9
47
✓
SMU −12.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#24Southern Miss
11%
89%
0
36
✓
USM −19.3
–
–
Final
#16Washington@StanfordUpset
64%
36%
31
43
✗
WASH −6.1
–
–
Final
#22Texas@Texas Tech
73%
27%
27
0
✓
TEX −10.2
–
–
Final
Baylor@Tulane
50%
50%
15
30
✓
BAY −0.5
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Wichita State
74%
26%
30
21
✓
TLSA −10.8
–
–
Final
Oregon@#9UCLA
5.1%
95%
12
40
✓
UCLA −25.9
–
–
Final
#11BYU@Utah StateUpset
93%
7.3%
17
20
✗
BYU −23.7
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Virginia Tech
22%
78%
3
29
✓
VT −12.0
–
–
Final
East Carolina@#20West Virginia
11%
89%
3
30
✓
WVU −19.4
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Western Michigan
18%
82%
3
27
✓
WMU −13.9
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Wisconsin
8.2%
92%
20
54
✓
WIS −21.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD Columbia at Army Army −20.8 91%
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD Drake at West Texas West Texas −1.8 56%
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD New Mexico at North Texas New Mexico −18.6 87%
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD Northern Arizona at New Mexico State New Mexico State −8.5 71%
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD Rutgers at Richmond Rutgers −16.9 85%
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD Colgate at Syracuse Syracuse −20.7 91%
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD Cincinnati at Temple Temple −8.2 71%
Sat, Oct 30 · TBD VMI at Virginia Virginia −5.0 64%