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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 1

Chaos 11

Wilder than 11% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 14.1 expected

  • Biggest shockWichita State over Kansas11% chance · won 13-10
  • Runner-upColorado State over Wyoming30% chance · won 9-3
  • Runner-upTemple over Syracuse31% chance · won 23-18

Upsets

Thu, Sep 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#14North Carolina@#9Pittsburgh
37%
63%
6
7
✓
PITT −4.8
–
–

Sat, Sep 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 38 games

Final
San Diego State@Air Force
62%
38%
32
44
✗
SDSU −5.2
–
–
Final
#15Alabama@Georgia Tech
74%
26%
45
7
✓
ALA −10.5
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Arizona
18%
82%
12
38
✓
ARIZ −13.6
–
–
Final
Utah@#3Arizona State
13%
87%
10
23
✓
ASU −17.3
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Arkansas
41%
59%
0
38
✓
ARK −3.1
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Auburn
26%
74%
10
28
✓
AUB −9.3
–
–
Final
#6Clemson@#23Boston College
61%
39%
17
17
✓
CLEM −4.6
–
–
Final
California@Colorado
51%
49%
31
17
✓
CAL −1.0
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Colorado State
70%
30%
3
9
✗
WYO −8.7
–
–
Final
#17USC@#8Florida
34%
66%
9
17
✓
FLA −5.9
–
–
Final
#5BYU@#4Georgia
39%
61%
14
17
✓
UGA −3.9
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Illinois
31%
69%
16
23
✓
ILL −7.2
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Indiana
11%
89%
0
30
✓
IU −18.3
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Kansas State
50%
50%
9
23
✓
UK −0.4
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Rice
35%
65%
21
14
✗
RICE −5.3
–
–
Final
Houston@#2Miami (FL)
16%
84%
12
31
✓
MIA −14.9
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@#12Michigan
26%
74%
9
20
✓
MICH −9.3
–
–
Final
Ohio@Minnesota
20%
80%
7
57
✓
MINN −12.4
–
–
Final
#10Southern Miss@Ole MissUpset
65%
35%
19
28
✗
USM −6.6
–
–
Final
Army@#18Missouri
13%
87%
10
23
✓
MIZ −16.9
–
–
Final
Virginia@Navy
31%
70%
16
30
✓
NAVY −7.4
–
–
Final
Iowa@#7Nebraska
25%
75%
7
42
✓
NEB −9.9
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@New Mexico
27%
73%
0
14
✓
UNM −9.0
–
–
Final
East Carolina@NC State
28%
72%
26
33
✓
NCSU −8.7
–
–
Final
Baylor@#25Ohio State
34%
66%
14
21
✓
OSU −6.0
–
–
Final
Maryland@#1Penn State
13%
87%
31
39
✓
PSU −17.0
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Oregon
70%
30%
18
13
✓
SJSU −8.5
–
–
Final
Tulane@#13SMU
27%
73%
7
51
✓
SMU −8.9
–
–
Final
Stanford@Purdue
45%
55%
35
14
✗
PUR −1.4
–
–
Final
Temple@#20SyracuseUpset
31%
70%
23
18
✗
SYR −7.4
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Tennessee
41%
59%
21
23
✓
TENN −3.1
–
–
Final
Utah State@TCU
40%
60%
9
24
✓
TCU −3.2
–
–
Final
Toledo@Ball State
59%
41%
31
14
✓
TOL −4.1
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@#19UCLA
4.4%
96%
10
41
✓
UCLA −26.3
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Memphis
61%
39%
24
14
✓
VAN −4.7
–
–
Final
UTEP@Washington
6.7%
93%
0
55
✓
WASH −22.9
–
–
Final
West Virginia@#16OklahomaUpset
37%
63%
41
27
✗
OU −4.4
–
–
Final
Wichita State@KansasUpset
11%
89%
13
10
✗
KU −18.5
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Eastern Michigan at Akron Akron −7.4 70%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Cal State Fullerton at Boise State Boise State −29.1 97%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD UC Davis at Pacific Pacific −0.3 52%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Louisville at Cincinnati Cincinnati −4.9 64%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Cal Poly at Fresno State Fresno State −23.0 93%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Montana at #24 Hawaii Hawaii −28.7 97%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD New Mexico State at Indiana State New Mexico State −0.2 49%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD West Texas at Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech −16.8 87%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD William & Mary at Miami (OH) Miami (OH) −22.6 93%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Arkansas State at #11 Mississippi State Mississippi State −15.5 85%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD North Texas at Oklahoma State Oklahoma State −7.1 69%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Richmond at #21 South Carolina South Carolina −29.4 97%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Idaho at Washington State Washington State −34.4 99%
Sat, Sep 11 · TBD Western Michigan at Marshall Western Michigan −11.7 76%