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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1982

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 83

Wilder than 83% of weeks in the archive.

18 upsets against 13.6 expected

  • Biggest shockNorthwestern over Michigan State8.9% chance · won 28-24
  • Runner-upNotre Dame over Pittsburgh13% chance · won 31-16
  • Runner-upBaylor over Arkansas16% chance · won 24-17

Upsets

Sat, Nov 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Air Force@Army
80%
20%
27
9
✓
AF −13.8
–
–
Final
Arizona@Stanford
38%
62%
41
27
✗
STAN −4.2
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#8Arizona State
0.9%
99%
16
30
✓
ASU −37.6
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Auburn
14%
86%
7
30
✓
AUB −16.6
–
–
Final
#13Arkansas@BaylorUpset
84%
16%
17
24
✗
ARK −16.6
–
–
Final
Ball State@Bowling Green
13%
87%
7
28
✓
BGSU −17.4
–
–
Final
Wyoming@#20BYU
12%
88%
13
23
✓
BYU −18.6
–
–
Final
#4North Carolina@#15Clemson
55%
45%
13
16
✗
UNC −2.6
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Duke
24%
76%
26
46
✓
DUKE −11.0
–
–
Final
Kent State@Eastern Michigan
43%
57%
7
9
✓
EMU −2.3
–
–
Final
#14Florida State@South Carolina
82%
18%
56
26
✓
FSU −15.2
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Fresno State
11%
89%
14
31
✓
FRES −19.2
–
–
Final
#24Florida@#10Georgia
28%
72%
0
44
✓
UGA −8.6
–
–
Final
Virginia@Georgia Tech
31%
69%
32
38
✓
GT −7.4
–
–
Final
Indiana@Wisconsin
29%
71%
20
17
✗
WIS −8.3
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Kansas
73%
27%
17
24
✗
ISU −10.4
–
–
Final
Pacific@Long Beach State
32%
68%
31
32
✓
Long Beach State −7.1
–
–
Final
#22LSU@#5Alabama
28%
72%
20
10
✗
ALA −9.0
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Miami (OH)
44%
56%
0
23
✓
M-OH −1.8
–
–
Final
#11Michigan@Illinois
64%
36%
16
10
✓
MICH −6.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@Ole Miss
38%
62%
14
45
✓
MISS −4.4
–
–
Final
Colorado@Missouri
12%
88%
14
35
✓
MIZ −18.7
–
–
Final
Navy@Syracuse
44%
56%
20
18
✗
SYR −1.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#1Nebraska
3.0%
97%
10
48
✓
NEB −29.7
–
–
Final
UNLV@Colorado State
27%
73%
36
31
✗
CSU −9.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico@UTEP
93%
6.6%
31
18
✓
UNM −24.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Ohio
32%
68%
36
0
✗
OHIO −7.1
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Michigan StateUpset
8.9%
91%
28
24
✗
MSU −21.1
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@#3PittsburghUpset
13%
87%
31
16
✗
PITT −17.3
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#25Ohio State
17%
83%
10
35
✓
OSU −14.6
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#16Oklahoma
19%
81%
10
24
✓
OU −13.6
–
–
Final
NC State@#2Penn State
8.1%
92%
0
54
✓
PSU −22.0
–
–
Final
Iowa@Purdue
66%
34%
7
16
✗
IOWA −6.9
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Hawaii
34%
66%
31
28
✗
HAW −6.0
–
–
Final
California@#7USC
11%
89%
0
42
✓
USC −19.1
–
–
Final
#12SMU@Rice
96%
3.8%
41
14
✓
SMU −28.9
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tennessee
13%
87%
3
29
✓
TENN −17.3
–
–
Final
Houston@#19Texas
17%
83%
0
50
✓
TEX −14.7
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@TCU
40%
60%
16
14
✗
TCU −3.6
–
–
Final
West Texas@Tulsa
5.0%
95%
21
59
✓
TLSA −26.0
–
–
Final
Utah State@Utah
24%
76%
10
42
✓
UTAH −10.8
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Kentucky
69%
31%
23
10
✓
VAN −8.4
–
–
Final
#6UCLA@#21Washington
57%
43%
7
10
✗
UCLA −3.1
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon
38%
62%
10
3
✗
ORE −4.2
–
–
Final
#17West Virginia@Temple
59%
41%
20
17
✓
WVU −4.1
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Toledo
49%
51%
17
10
✗
WMU −0.2
–
–

Sun, Nov 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#18Miami (FL)@#9Maryland
34%
66%
17
18
✓
MD −6.3
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD Boston College at UMass Boston College −12.6 78%
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD East Carolina at Texas-Arlington East Carolina −14.4 81%
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD Louisiana-Monroe at Louisiana Louisiana −0.1 52%
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD Indiana State at Louisville Louisville −6.0 66%
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD North Texas at New Mexico State North Texas −6.0 64%
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD Santa Clara at San Jose State San Jose State −31.5 98%
Sat, Nov 6 · TBD Wichita State at Drake Wichita State −5.0 61%