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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1987

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 14 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 10

Wilder than 10% of weeks in the archive.

3 upsets against 3.9 expected

  • Biggest shockNorthern Illinois over UNLV40% chance · won 34-31
  • Runner-upArizona State over Arizona46% chance · won 24-24
  • Runner-upLouisiana over Southern Miss50% chance · won 37-30

Thu, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Texas@#17Texas A&M
20%
80%
13
20
✓
TA&M −13.2
–
–

Fri, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#15Alabama@#7Auburn
29%
71%
0
10
✓
AUB −8.4
–
–

Sat, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 12 games

Final
#22Arizona State@Arizona
46%
54%
24
24
✗
ARIZ −0.9
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Arkansas
2.3%
98%
25
43
✓
ARK −31.6
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@#11Florida
67%
33%
28
14
✓
FSU −7.6
–
–
Final
#18Georgia@Georgia Tech
86%
14%
30
16
✓
UGA −17.6
–
–
Final
Houston@Rice
71%
29%
45
21
✓
HOU −9.2
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Louisiana
50%
50%
30
37
✗
USM −0.7
–
–
Final
#6Notre Dame@#1Miami (FL)
22%
78%
0
24
✓
MIA −11.9
–
–
Final
#4Nebraska@Colorado
77%
23%
24
7
✓
NEB −12.1
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@UNLV
40%
60%
34
31
✗
UNLV −3.4
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#14Tennessee
7.7%
92%
36
38
✓
TENN −22.4
–
–
Final
California@Washington State
53%
47%
17
17
✓
CAL −1.6
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Hawaii
70%
30%
24
20
✓
WYO −9.1
–
–