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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1987

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 71

Wilder than 71% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 13.3 expected

  • Biggest shockColgate over Army2.6% chance · won 22-20
  • Runner-upCal State Fullerton over UNLV12% chance · won 28-14
  • Runner-upDelaware State over Akron14% chance · won 52-26

Upsets

Fri, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Indiana@Minnesota
50%
50%
18
17
✗
IU −0.4
–
–

Sat, Oct 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
#11Tennessee@#13Alabama
43%
57%
22
41
✓
ALA −2.4
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#25Arizona
7.0%
93%
17
31
✓
ARIZ −23.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@#19Arizona State
13%
87%
7
38
✓
ASU −17.9
–
–
Final
#6Auburn@Georgia Tech
88%
12%
20
10
✓
AUB −19.0
–
–
Final
Toledo@Bowling Green
31%
69%
6
20
✓
BGSU −7.3
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@UNLVUpset
12%
88%
28
14
✗
UNLV −18.5
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Central Michigan
53%
47%
18
41
✗
TLSA −1.5
–
–
Final
Duke@#21Clemson
9.9%
90%
10
17
✓
CLEM −20.2
–
–
Final
Kansas@Colorado
4.5%
96%
10
35
✓
COLO −26.8
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Colorado State
42%
58%
13
35
✓
CSU −2.9
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Virginia Tech
33%
67%
32
23
✗
VT −6.5
–
–
Final
Ball State@Eastern Michigan
19%
80%
28
35
✓
EMU −13.3
–
–
Final
Temple@#7Florida
8.6%
91%
3
34
✓
FLA −21.4
–
–
Final
Louisville@#3Florida State
0.2%
>99%
9
32
✓
FSU −47.1
–
–
Final
#17Georgia@Vanderbilt
82%
18%
52
24
✓
UGA −14.8
–
–
Final
Utah@Hawaii
26%
74%
14
25
✓
HAW −9.7
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Illinois
39%
61%
14
16
✓
ILL −4.0
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Kent State
23%
77%
13
27
✓
KENT −11.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Long Beach State
28%
72%
6
33
✓
Long Beach State −8.9
–
–
Final
#18Kentucky@#9LSU
28%
72%
9
34
✓
LSU −8.9
–
–
Final
Maryland@Wake Forest
29%
71%
14
0
✗
WAKE −8.3
–
–
Final
Tulane@Memphis
37%
63%
36
45
✓
MEM −4.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@Miami (OH)
12%
88%
9
10
✓
M-OH −18.2
–
–
Final
#14Iowa@#12Michigan
36%
64%
10
37
✓
MICH −5.2
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Northwestern
83%
17%
38
0
✓
MSU −15.5
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Ole Miss
21%
79%
14
24
✓
MISS −12.3
–
–
Final
Missouri@Iowa State
74%
26%
42
17
✓
MIZ −10.7
–
–
Final
#5Nebraska@#16Oklahoma State
58%
42%
35
0
✓
NEB −3.6
–
–
Final
North Carolina@NC State
58%
42%
17
14
✓
UNC −3.5
–
–
Final
#8Notre Dame@Air Force
71%
29%
35
14
✓
ND −9.3
–
–
Final
Ohio State@Purdue
76%
24%
20
17
✓
OSU −11.6
–
–
Final
#2Oklahoma@Kansas State
>99%
0.1%
59
10
✓
OU −50.5
–
–
Final
Boston College@Rutgers
59%
41%
24
38
✗
BC −4.2
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Fresno State
63%
37%
20
16
✓
SJSU −5.8
–
–
Final
Virginia@South Carolina
18%
82%
10
58
✓
SC −14.0
–
–
Final
#24USC@#23Washington
38%
62%
37
23
✗
WASH −4.2
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Southern Miss
39%
61%
14
18
✓
USM −4.0
–
–
Final
Stanford@San Diego State
61%
39%
44
40
✓
STAN −4.9
–
–
Final
#10Penn State@#20Syracuse
54%
46%
21
48
✗
PSU −2.0
–
–
Final
Texas@#15ArkansasUpset
18%
82%
16
14
✗
ARK −14.1
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@Baylor
38%
62%
34
10
✗
BAY −4.5
–
–
Final
Rice@Texas Tech
15%
85%
7
59
✓
TTU −16.0
–
–
Final
Oregon@#4UCLA
11%
89%
10
41
✓
UCLA −19.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@Utah State
36%
64%
13
17
✓
USU −5.4
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@West Virginia
19%
80%
17
45
✓
WVU −13.3
–
–
Final
Houston@Wyoming
11%
89%
35
37
✓
WYO −18.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD Colgate at Army Army −31.0 97%
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD Delaware State at Akron Akron −16.6 86%
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD Navy at Pennsylvania Navy −2.6 55%
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD Missouri State at Northern Illinois Northern Illinois −13.6 81%
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD North Texas at TCU TCU −6.6 67%
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD Lamar at UTEP UTEP −38.3 99%