The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1987

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 18 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 40

Wilder than 40% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 7.1 expected

  • Biggest shockEastern Michigan over San Jose State32% chance · won 30-27
  • Runner-upTexas A&M over Notre Dame34% chance · won 35-10
  • Runner-upTexas over Pittsburgh38% chance · won 32-27

Upsets

Sat, Dec 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
San Jose StatevsEastern Michigan
68%
32%
27
30
✗
SJSU −7.8
–
–

Sat, Dec 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
TulanevsWashington
30%
70%
12
24
✓
WASH −8.1
–
–

Tue, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
BYUvsVirginia
62%
38%
16
22
✗
BYU −5.2
–
–

Fri, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
West Virginiavs#20Oklahoma State
42%
58%
33
35
✓
OKST −2.7
–
–
Final
#13Floridavs#5UCLA
28%
72%
16
20
✓
UCLA −8.8
–
–

Tue, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Arkansasvs#16Georgia
38%
62%
17
20
✓
UGA −4.4
–
–

Wed, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Air Forcevs#22Arizona State
42%
58%
28
33
✓
ASU −2.7
–
–
Final
Wyomingvs#19Iowa
38%
62%
19
20
✓
IOWA −4.4
–
–

Thu, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#8South Carolinavs#9LSU
49%
51%
13
30
✓
SC −0.2
–
–
Final
#25PittsburghvsTexasUpset
62%
38%
27
32
✗
PITT −5.3
–
–

Fri, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
#21Penn Statevs#24Clemson
52%
48%
10
35
✗
PSU −1.4
–
–
Final
#4Nebraskavs#3Florida State
44%
56%
28
31
✓
FSU −2.1
–
–
Final
#2Oklahomavs#1Miami (FL)
45%
55%
14
20
✓
MIA −1.6
–
–
Final
#10Michigan Statevs#15USC
53%
47%
20
17
✓
MSU −1.6
–
–
Final
#7Auburnvs#11Syracuse
60%
40%
16
16
✓
AUB −4.4
–
–
Final
#6Notre Damevs#18Texas A&M
66%
34%
10
35
✗
ND −7.1
–
–

Sat, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#14Alabamavs#12Michigan
47%
53%
24
28
✓
MICH −0.8
–
–
Final
Indianavs#17Tennessee
32%
68%
22
27
✓
TENN −6.8
–
–