Week 12 slate, 1987
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 46
Wilder than 46% of weeks in the archive.
12 upsets against 12.5 expected
- Biggest shockNavy over Delaware3.0% chance · won 31-22
- Runner-upNC State over Duke25% chance · won 47-45
- Runner-upAkron over Northern Illinois26% chance · won 27-21
Upsets
- Arizona State 20, California 38#18 Arizona State lost to unranked California
- NC State 47, Duke 45NC State won; the model gave them 24% before kickoff
- Penn State 0, Pittsburgh 10#20 Penn State lost to unranked Pittsburgh
No games match.
Sat, Nov 14
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 46 games
Final
Pacific@Cal State Fullerton
31%
69%
69%
22
14
14
✗
Cal State Fullerton −7.5
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 14 · TBD | Lafayette at |
Army −23.5 | 93% |
| Sat, Nov 14 · TBD | Austin Peay at |
Cincinnati −16.5 | 86% |
| Sat, Nov 14 · TBD | Furman at |
Florida State −49.0 | >99% |
| Sat, Nov 14 · TBD | Delaware −29.8 | 97% |