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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1987

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 88

Wilder than 88% of weeks in the archive.

19 upsets against 12.5 expected

  • Biggest shockMemphis over Alabama10% chance · won 13-10
  • Runner-upCalifornia over Arizona13% chance · won 23-23
  • Runner-upIndiana over Ohio State18% chance · won 31-10

Upsets

Sat, Oct 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 45 games

Final
Air Force@Navy
96%
4.5%
23
13
✓
AF −28.0
–
–
Final
California@#18Arizona
13%
87%
23
23
✗
ARIZ −19.0
–
–
Final
#25Arkansas@Texas Tech
62%
38%
31
0
✓
ARK −5.0
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#7Auburn
4.7%
95%
15
48
✓
AUB −27.8
–
–
Final
Kent State@Ball State
61%
39%
23
24
✗
KENT −4.5
–
–
Final
Army@#22Boston College
10%
90%
24
29
✓
BC −21.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Ohio
46%
54%
28
7
✗
OHIO −1.8
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Central Michigan
59%
41%
6
16
✗
EMU −3.8
–
–
Final
Virginia@#20Clemson
17%
83%
21
38
✓
CLEM −15.7
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@East Carolina
60%
40%
28
56
✗
CIN −4.0
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@#8Florida
0.4%
>99%
0
65
✓
FLA −43.7
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@Southern Miss
86%
14%
61
10
✓
FSU −17.8
–
–
Final
Hawaii@New Mexico
56%
44%
41
31
✓
HAW −2.6
–
–
Final
Indiana@#14Ohio StateUpset
18%
82%
31
10
✗
OSU −15.0
–
–
Final
#16Iowa@Wisconsin
76%
24%
31
10
✓
IOWA −11.7
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Kentucky
20%
80%
6
35
✓
UK −13.9
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Pacific
36%
64%
9
6
✗
Pacific −5.9
–
–
Final
#12LSU@#17Georgia
54%
46%
26
23
✓
LSU −1.5
–
–
Final
#10Alabama@MemphisUpset
90%
10%
10
13
✗
ALA −20.9
–
–
Final
Maryland@#1Miami (FL)
0.6%
99%
16
46
✓
MIA −41.4
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Western Michigan
65%
35%
17
0
✓
M-OH −6.4
–
–
Final
#11Michigan@Michigan StateUpset
66%
34%
11
17
✗
MICH −6.6
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Northwestern
68%
32%
45
33
✓
MINN −7.6
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Missouri
6.1%
94%
10
34
✓
MIZ −25.7
–
–
Final
Kansas@#6Nebraska
0.6%
99%
2
54
✓
NEB −41.4
–
–
Final
Utah State@UNLV
12%
88%
27
28
✓
UNLV −19.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Northern Illinois
48%
52%
5
41
✓
NIU −1.0
–
–
Final
Texas@#2Oklahoma
2.5%
98%
9
44
✓
OU −32.6
–
–
Final
Colorado@#24Oklahoma State
33%
67%
17
42
✓
OKST −7.4
–
–
Final
#21USC@OregonUpset
58%
42%
27
34
✗
USC −3.1
–
–
Final
Akron@Oregon State
54%
46%
26
42
✗
AKR −1.7
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#9Penn State
10%
90%
21
35
✓
PSU −21.1
–
–
Final
#4Notre Dame@PittsburghUpset
69%
31%
22
30
✗
ND −8.2
–
–
Final
Illinois@Purdue
51%
49%
3
9
✗
ILL −0.1
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@San Jose State
3.3%
97%
6
57
✓
SJSU −30.7
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@South Carolina
26%
74%
10
40
✓
SC −11.0
–
–
Final
Stanford@Washington State
29%
71%
44
7
✗
WSU −9.2
–
–
Final
Houston@#23Texas A&M
5.4%
95%
17
22
✓
TA&M −26.7
–
–
Final
TCU@Rice
66%
34%
30
16
✓
TCU −6.8
–
–
Final
UTEP@San Diego State
68%
32%
34
33
✓
UTEP −7.7
–
–
Final
Tulsa@TempleUpset
20%
80%
24
17
✗
TEM −14.1
–
–
Final
Utah@Colorado State
48%
52%
24
23
✗
CSU −0.8
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@North Carolina
31%
69%
22
14
✗
UNC −8.4
–
–
Final
#15Arizona State@WashingtonUpset
54%
46%
14
27
✗
ASU −1.6
–
–
Final
Wyoming@BYU
46%
54%
29
27
✗
BYU −1.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Texas State at Baylor Baylor −19.8 88%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Southern Illinois at Fresno State Fresno State −33.0 98%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Indiana State at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech −27.6 95%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Northern Iowa at Iowa State Iowa State −19.6 88%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Northwestern State at Louisiana Louisiana −16.6 84%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Marshall at Louisville Marshall −7.7 68%