The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1987

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 44 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 53

Wilder than 53% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 12.2 expected

  • Biggest shockIndiana State over Ball State19% chance · won 24-23
  • Runner-upYoungstown State over Akron23% chance · won 10-6
  • Runner-upOhio State over Michigan25% chance · won 23-20

Upsets

Sat, Nov 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 41 games

Final
Air Force@Hawaii
71%
29%
34
31
✓
AF −9.1
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Bowling Green
43%
57%
17
18
✓
BGSU −2.3
–
–
Final
Utah@BYU
9.8%
90%
18
21
✓
BYU −20.3
–
–
Final
Colorado@Kansas State
94%
6.2%
41
0
✓
COLO −25.0
–
–
Final
Duke@North Carolina
25%
75%
25
10
✗
UNC −10.2
–
–
Final
Fresno State@New Mexico State
92%
7.8%
34
10
✓
FRES −23.1
–
–
Final
Purdue@Indiana
18%
82%
14
35
✓
IU −14.2
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#18Iowa
13%
87%
20
34
✓
IOWA −17.4
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Louisiana
39%
61%
28
35
✓
UL −4.1
–
–
Final
#8LSU@Tulane
83%
17%
41
36
✓
LSU −15.9
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tulsa
58%
42%
14
0
✓
MEM −3.6
–
–
Final
Toledo@#1Miami (FL)
0.1%
>99%
14
24
✓
MIA −50.2
–
–
Final
#13Michigan State@Wisconsin
86%
14%
30
9
✓
MSU −18.0
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Mississippi State
42%
58%
20
30
✓
MSST −2.6
–
–
Final
Kansas@Missouri
4.5%
96%
7
19
✓
MIZ −26.8
–
–
Final
Pacific@UNLV
28%
72%
24
30
✓
UNLV −8.9
–
–
Final
Illinois@Northwestern
64%
36%
10
28
✗
ILL −6.4
–
–
Final
Ohio State@#11MichiganUpset
25%
75%
23
20
✗
MICH −10.5
–
–
Final
#2Oklahoma@#4Nebraska
46%
54%
17
7
✗
NEB −1.0
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#20Oklahoma State
2.9%
97%
27
48
✓
OKST −30.2
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Oregon
13%
87%
0
44
✓
ORE −17.4
–
–
Final
#6Notre Dame@#22Penn State
68%
32%
20
21
✗
ND −8.2
–
–
Final
Kent State@#24Pittsburgh
11%
89%
5
28
✓
PITT −19.0
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Temple
52%
48%
17
14
✓
RUTG −1.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico@San Diego State
12%
88%
30
53
✓
SDSU −18.7
–
–
Final
#23Clemson@#9South Carolina
26%
74%
7
20
✓
SC −9.6
–
–
Final
#5UCLA@#17USC
67%
33%
13
17
✗
UCLA −7.7
–
–
Final
California@Stanford
38%
62%
7
31
✓
STAN −4.5
–
–
Final
West Virginia@#10Syracuse
22%
78%
31
32
✓
SYR −11.6
–
–
Final
#14Tennessee@Kentucky
59%
41%
24
22
✓
TENN −4.2
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas
38%
62%
16
34
✓
TEX −4.6
–
–
Final
#19Texas A&M@TCU
60%
40%
42
24
✓
TA&M −4.7
–
–
Final
Houston@Texas Tech
30%
70%
10
10
✗
TTU −7.8
–
–
Final
Utah State@Long Beach State
53%
47%
17
14
✓
USU −1.6
–
–
Final
Maryland@Vanderbilt
51%
49%
24
34
✗
MD −1.0
–
–
Final
Virginia@NC State
53%
47%
34
31
✓
UVA −1.7
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Virginia Tech
20%
80%
20
21
✓
VT −12.9
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Georgia Tech
47%
53%
33
6
✗
GT −0.7
–
–
Final
Washington State@Washington
17%
83%
19
34
✓
WASH −14.6
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ohio
49%
51%
31
13
✗
OHIO −0.1
–
–
Final
Wyoming@UTEP
55%
45%
37
13
✓
WYO −2.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Montana at Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton −11.3 77%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Ball State at Indiana State Ball State −14.3 81%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Youngstown State at Akron Akron −11.2 77%