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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1987

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 42 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3

Chaos 15

Wilder than 15% of weeks in the archive.

7 upsets against 11.2 expected

  • Biggest shockAustin Peay over Kansas State15% chance · won 26-22
  • Runner-upEast Carolina over NC State26% chance · won 32-14
  • Runner-upMemphis over Ole Miss33% chance · won 16-10

Upsets

Wed, Sep 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Pittsburgh@BYU
40%
60%
27
17
✗
BYU −3.4
–
–

Sat, Sep 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 30 games

Final
Southern Miss@#5Alabama
17%
83%
6
38
✓
ALA −14.5
–
–
Final
Texas@#6Auburn
23%
77%
3
31
✓
AUB −11.1
–
–
Final
TCU@Boston College
21%
79%
20
38
✓
BC −12.0
–
–
Final
Pacific@California
15%
85%
0
42
✓
CAL −15.7
–
–
Final
East Carolina@NC State
26%
74%
32
14
✗
NCSU −9.4
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#13Florida State
26%
74%
16
40
✓
FSU −9.5
–
–
Final
Virginia@#20Georgia
19%
81%
22
30
✓
UGA −12.9
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Hawaii
6.7%
93%
0
44
✓
HAW −22.9
–
–
Final
#12LSU@#15Texas A&M
44%
56%
17
3
✗
TA&M −2.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@Louisville
46%
54%
40
42
✓
LOU −1.2
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Memphis
67%
33%
10
16
✗
MISS −7.4
–
–
Final
#17Florida@#1Miami (FL)
11%
89%
4
31
✓
MIA −18.3
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Central Michigan
56%
44%
15
6
✓
M-OH −2.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Mississippi State
36%
64%
3
31
✓
MSST −5.1
–
–
Final
Utah State@#3Nebraska
7.7%
92%
12
56
✓
NEB −21.8
–
–
Final
Illinois@North Carolina
36%
64%
14
34
✓
UNC −5.2
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Oklahoma State
44%
56%
28
39
✓
OKST −2.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@#4Penn State
12%
88%
19
45
✓
PSU −17.5
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Cincinnati
52%
48%
10
7
✓
RUTG −1.2
–
–
Final
#25Maryland@SyracuseUpset
51%
49%
11
25
✗
MD −0.8
–
–
Final
Temple@Toledo
56%
44%
13
12
✓
TEM −2.7
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Tennessee
49%
51%
3
49
✓
CSU −0.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@UTEP
21%
79%
0
31
✓
UTEP −11.9
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#8UCLA
23%
77%
14
47
✓
UCLA −11.0
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Utah
45%
55%
20
24
✓
UTAH −1.5
–
–
Final
#23Stanford@#10Washington
31%
69%
21
31
✓
WASH −7.2
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Washington State
46%
54%
24
41
✓
WSU −1.2
–
–
Final
Ohio@West Virginia
22%
78%
3
23
✓
WVU −11.3
–
–
Final
Akron@Western Michigan
55%
45%
19
24
✗
AKR −2.4
–
–
Final
Air Force@Wyoming
46%
54%
13
27
✓
WYO −1.1
–
–

Mon, Sep 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#21USC@#22Michigan State
41%
59%
13
27
✓
MSU −3.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Austin Peay at Kansas State Kansas State −15.4 85%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Louisiana Tech at #19 Baylor Baylor −13.0 81%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Western Carolina at #24 Clemson Clemson −31.0 98%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Colgate at Duke Duke −21.3 92%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Youngstown State at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan −21.1 92%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Montana State at Long Beach State Long Beach State −22.2 93%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD North Texas at #2 Oklahoma Oklahoma −20.1 91%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Lamar at Rice Rice −27.4 96%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Eastern Illinois at San Jose State San Jose State −28.7 97%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Appalachian State at South Carolina South Carolina −7.8 70%