The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 15 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 19

Wilder than 19% of weeks in the archive.

2 upsets against 3.6 expected

  • Biggest shockNotre Dame over USC36% chance · won 27-10
  • Runner-upTemple over Boston College41% chance · won 45-28
  • Runner-upUNLV over Long Beach State50% chance · won 42-41

Thu, Nov 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#20Texas A&M@Texas
70%
30%
28
24
✓
TA&M −9.0
–
–

Fri, Nov 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#18Alabama@#8Auburn
23%
77%
10
15
✓
AUB −11.2
–
–

Sat, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 13 games

Final
Arizona State@Arizona
18%
82%
18
28
✓
ARIZ −14.1
–
–
Final
Florida@#3Florida State
7.7%
92%
17
52
✓
FSU −22.4
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#21Georgia
11%
89%
3
24
✓
UGA −18.8
–
–
Final
Air Force@Hawaii
43%
57%
14
19
✓
HAW −2.2
–
–
Final
Rice@#11Houston
2.0%
98%
14
45
✓
HOU −32.7
–
–
Final
Tulane@#19LSU
5.8%
94%
14
44
✓
LSU −24.8
–
–
Final
#15Arkansas@#1Miami (FL)
8.2%
92%
16
18
✓
MIA −21.9
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
21%
78%
6
33
✓
MISS −12.1
–
–
Final
UNLV@Long Beach State
50%
50%
42
41
✓
UNLV −0.7
–
–
Final
#4Notre Dame@#2USC
36%
64%
27
10
✗
USC −5.4
–
–
Final
Boston College@Temple
59%
41%
28
45
✗
BC −4.0
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Vanderbilt
52%
48%
14
7
✓
TENN −1.5
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Tulsa
20%
80%
28
32
✓
TLSA −13.1
–
–