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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 3 slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 2

Chaos 34

Wilder than 34% of weeks in the archive.

7 upsets against 13.3 expected

  • Biggest shockOregon State over San Jose State5.1% chance · won 41-27
  • Runner-upRutgers over Michigan State23% chance · won 17-13
  • Runner-upSan Diego State over Air Force27% chance · won 39-36

Upsets

Thu, Sep 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Texas@BYU
40%
60%
6
47
✓
BYU −3.3
–
–
Final
#20Wyoming@Louisville
84%
16%
44
9
✓
WYO −15.6
–
–

Sat, Sep 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 37 games

Final
Alabama@Temple
65%
35%
37
0
✓
ALA −6.3
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#23Arizona
22%
78%
19
35
✓
ARIZ −11.6
–
–
Final
Illinois@Arizona State
12%
88%
16
21
✓
ASU −17.9
–
–
Final
Tulsa@#14Arkansas
13%
87%
26
30
✓
ARK −17.1
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#16Auburn
34%
66%
10
20
✓
AUB −5.7
–
–
Final
Ball State@Bowling Green
54%
46%
34
10
✓
BALL −2.3
–
–
Final
Baylor@Kansas
76%
24%
27
14
✓
BAY −11.4
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Boston College
33%
67%
7
41
✓
BC −6.2
–
–
Final
Pacific@California
1.8%
98%
7
30
✓
CAL −32.4
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Colorado
47%
53%
3
45
✓
COLO −0.8
–
–
Final
Duke@#17TennesseeUpset
28%
72%
31
26
✗
TENN −8.4
–
–
Final
#15Florida@Ole Miss
59%
41%
27
15
✓
FLA −3.9
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#5Florida State
5.3%
95%
13
49
✓
FSU −24.8
–
–
Final
TCU@#11Georgia
16%
84%
10
38
✓
UGA −14.8
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Colorado State
51%
49%
31
23
✓
HAW −0.7
–
–
Final
Indiana@Rice
66%
34%
41
14
✓
IU −7.0
–
–
Final
#22Iowa@Kansas State
93%
6.6%
45
10
✓
IOWA −23.8
–
–
Final
Tulane@Iowa State
51%
49%
13
30
✗
TULN −0.9
–
–
Final
Akron@Kent State
24%
76%
12
32
✓
KENT −10.5
–
–
Final
Utah State@Missouri
15%
85%
21
35
✓
MIZ −15.8
–
–
Final
New Mexico@New Mexico State
56%
44%
36
34
✓
UNM −2.7
–
–
Final
#25Michigan@#19Notre Dame
37%
63%
17
19
✓
ND −4.6
–
–
Final
#13Syracuse@Ohio StateUpset
57%
43%
9
26
✗
SYR −3.4
–
–
Final
#9Oklahoma@North Carolina
72%
28%
28
0
✓
OU −9.6
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Oklahoma State
23%
77%
20
52
✓
OKST −11.1
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Oregon
1.1%
99%
0
49
✓
ORE −35.6
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#12San Jose StateUpset
5.1%
95%
41
27
✗
SJSU −25.2
–
–
Final
Penn State@Virginia
61%
39%
42
14
✓
PSU −4.7
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#24Michigan StateUpset
23%
77%
17
13
✗
MSU −11.0
–
–
Final
#6USC@Stanford
75%
25%
24
20
✓
USC −10.8
–
–
Final
#3Nebraska@#2UCLA
37%
63%
28
41
✓
UCLA −4.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Vanderbilt
42%
58%
20
24
✓
VAN −2.6
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Virginia Tech
44%
56%
16
27
✓
VT −1.7
–
–
Final
Washington@Purdue
57%
43%
20
6
✓
WASH −3.2
–
–
Final
Washington State@Minnesota
59%
41%
41
9
✓
WSU −4.1
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@#10West Virginia
0.4%
>99%
10
45
✓
WVU −40.8
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Toledo
53%
46%
31
9
✓
WMU −1.8
–
–

Sun, Sep 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Air Force@San Diego State
73%
27%
36
39
✗
AF −10.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Holy Cross at Army Army −23.9 94%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Furman at #8 Clemson Clemson −35.7 99%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Eastern Michigan at Youngstown State Eastern Michigan −30.2 97%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Chattanooga at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech −30.9 98%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Houston at Louisiana Tech Houston −2.6 55%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Ohio at Marshall Marshall −7.0 69%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Arkansas State at Memphis Memphis −3.0 59%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Delaware at Navy Delaware −9.5 72%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Middle Tennessee at Northern Illinois Northern Illinois −11.6 78%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Western Carolina at #7 South Carolina South Carolina −57.5 >99%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Weber State at UTEP UTEP −32.0 98%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Idaho State at Utah Utah −31.2 98%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Illinois State at Wake Forest Wake Forest −27.7 96%