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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 5 slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 47 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 79

Wilder than 79% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 12.0 expected

  • Biggest shockThe Citadel over Navy1.4% chance · won 42-35
  • Runner-upMissouri over Indiana14% chance · won 28-28
  • Runner-upOhio State over LSU21% chance · won 36-33

Upsets

Sat, Sep 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 43 games

Final
Akron@New Mexico
67%
33%
30
28
✓
AKR −7.2
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#10Alabama
12%
88%
10
44
✓
ALA −19.3
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Arizona
20%
80%
0
55
✓
ARIZ −14.1
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Army
31%
69%
7
23
✓
ARMY −8.1
–
–
Final
Tennessee@#7Auburn
15%
85%
6
38
✓
AUB −17.5
–
–
Final
Pacific@Cal State Fullerton
17%
83%
10
13
✓
Cal State Fullerton −15.9
–
–
Final
Kansas@California
12%
88%
21
52
✓
CAL −19.3
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Miami (OH)
46%
54%
34
18
✗
M-OH −1.9
–
–
Final
#24Clemson@Georgia Tech
79%
21%
30
13
✓
CLEM −13.5
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#13Colorado
11%
89%
21
28
✓
COLO −20.5
–
–
Final
Virginia@Duke
23%
77%
34
38
✓
DUKE −12.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#21Florida
16%
84%
0
17
✓
FLA −16.4
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#5Florida State
14%
86%
7
30
✓
FSU −17.9
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Utah
71%
29%
48
20
✓
HAW −9.0
–
–
Final
Missouri@#18Indiana
14%
86%
28
28
✗
IU −17.8
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#25Iowa
7.3%
93%
3
10
✓
IOWA −24.1
–
–
Final
Kent State@Kentucky
32%
68%
14
38
✓
UK −8.0
–
–
Final
Rice@Louisiana
19%
82%
16
41
✓
UL −15.0
–
–
Final
Louisville@North CarolinaUpset
23%
77%
38
34
✗
UNC −12.3
–
–
Final
NC State@Maryland
50%
50%
26
30
✗
PK
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@#1Miami (FL)
0.3%
>99%
3
23
✓
MIA −46.4
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#11Michigan
13%
87%
9
19
✓
MICH −19.0
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Minnesota
26%
74%
20
31
✓
MINN −10.5
–
–
Final
Arizona State@#6Nebraska
17%
83%
16
47
✓
NEB −15.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@UNLV
37%
63%
18
26
✓
UNLV −5.5
–
–
Final
Purdue@#9Notre Dame
8.7%
91%
7
52
✓
ND −22.7
–
–
Final
#4LSU@Ohio StateUpset
79%
21%
33
36
✗
LSU −13.4
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#20Oklahoma State
34%
66%
15
52
✓
OKST −6.8
–
–
Final
Stanford@#22Oregon
34%
66%
3
7
✓
ORE −6.8
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#23Penn StateUpset
23%
77%
21
16
✗
PSU −12.4
–
–
Final
#14Georgia@#19South Carolina
48%
52%
10
23
✓
SC −1.0
–
–
Final
#2Oklahoma@#8USC
62%
38%
7
23
✗
OU −5.0
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@East Carolina
52%
48%
45
42
✓
USM −0.5
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Syracuse
15%
85%
0
35
✓
SYR −17.1
–
–
Final
Boston College@TCU
45%
55%
17
31
✓
TCU −2.0
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas Tech
69%
31%
6
36
✗
BAY −8.0
–
–
Final
UTEP@Tulsa
49%
51%
27
24
✗
TLSA −0.5
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Toledo
48%
52%
5
34
✓
TOL −1.2
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tulane
45%
55%
19
20
✓
TULN −2.3
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Utah State
12%
88%
20
32
✓
USU −19.5
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Washington
29%
71%
31
35
✓
WASH −9.2
–
–
Final
#12West Virginia@#17Pittsburgh
46%
54%
31
10
✗
PITT −1.7
–
–
Final
#15Wyoming@Air Force
60%
40%
48
45
✓
WYO −4.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 24 · TBD Montana State at Central Michigan Central Michigan −52.4 >99%
Sat, Sep 24 · TBD Navy at The Citadel Navy −36.3 99%
Sat, Sep 24 · TBD McNeese at Fresno State Fresno State −37.7 99%
Sat, Sep 24 · TBD North Texas at Texas Texas −4.9 62%