The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 48 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 78

Wilder than 78% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 10.7 expected

  • Biggest shockTemple over Rutgers9.7% chance · won 35-30
  • Runner-upWashington State over UCLA13% chance · won 34-30
  • Runner-upCalifornia over Arizona20% chance · won 10-7

Upsets

Sat, Oct 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Cal State Fullerton@Akron
28%
72%
14
15
✓
AKR −8.8
–
–
Final
#14Alabama@Mississippi State
85%
15%
53
34
✓
ALA −17.2
–
–
Final
Arizona State@OregonUpset
22%
78%
21
20
✗
ORE −12.0
–
–
Final
Rice@#15Arkansas
3.4%
97%
14
21
✓
ARK −28.9
–
–
Final
#9Auburn@Florida
68%
32%
16
0
✓
AUB −8.2
–
–
Final
Ball State@Northern Illinois
78%
22%
18
17
✓
BALL −12.9
–
–
Final
New Mexico@#19BYU
0.5%
>99%
0
65
✓
BYU −41.2
–
–
Final
California@ArizonaUpset
20%
80%
10
7
✗
ARIZ −13.2
–
–
Final
#17Clemson@Wake Forest
70%
30%
38
21
✓
CLEM −8.9
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Colorado
12%
88%
12
24
✓
COLO −18.3
–
–
Final
Duke@Georgia Tech
38%
62%
31
21
✗
GT −4.4
–
–
Final
Ohio@Eastern Michigan
24%
76%
17
17
✗
EMU −10.9
–
–
Final
Fresno State@San Jose State
48%
52%
17
15
✗
SJSU −0.3
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Hawaii
1.2%
99%
31
34
✓
HAW −35.7
–
–
Final
TCU@#21Houston
18%
82%
12
40
✓
HOU −14.4
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Illinois
23%
77%
27
27
✗
ILL −11.1
–
–
Final
#24Iowa@#18Indiana
35%
65%
34
45
✓
IU −5.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Tulane
70%
30%
51
34
✓
UL −8.8
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#13LSU
16%
84%
20
31
✓
LSU −15.4
–
–
Final
Louisville@Cincinnati
58%
42%
21
6
✓
LOU −3.9
–
–
Final
Maryland@North Carolina
66%
34%
41
38
✓
MD −7.2
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@East Carolina
99%
1.3%
31
7
✓
MIA −36.1
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Miami (OH)
49%
51%
21
21
✗
PK
–
–
Final
#10Michigan@Northwestern
96%
3.7%
52
7
✓
MICH −28.9
–
–
Final
Ohio State@Michigan State
21%
78%
10
20
✓
MSU −12.1
–
–
Final
Missouri@#4Nebraska
2.5%
98%
18
26
✓
NEB −31.2
–
–
Final
#2Notre Dame@Navy
98%
1.9%
22
7
✓
ND −33.6
–
–
Final
Kansas@#8Oklahoma
0.2%
>99%
14
63
✓
OU −46.3
–
–
Final
#11Oklahoma State@Kansas State
99%
1.2%
45
27
✓
OKST −36.4
–
–
Final
Purdue@Wisconsin
62%
38%
9
6
✓
PUR −5.4
–
–
Final
South Carolina@NC State
42%
58%
23
7
✗
NCSU −2.8
–
–
Final
#5USC@Oregon State
86%
14%
41
20
✓
USC −17.6
–
–
Final
Memphis@Southern Miss
24%
76%
27
34
✓
USM −10.9
–
–
Final
Temple@RutgersUpset
9.7%
90%
35
30
✗
RUTG −20.4
–
–
Final
Texas@Texas Tech
48%
52%
32
33
✓
TTU −0.4
–
–
Final
UTEP@New Mexico State
96%
3.8%
42
9
✓
UTEP −28.8
–
–
Final
Kent State@Toledo
55%
45%
28
35
✗
KENT −2.4
–
–
Final
Tulsa@UNLV
57%
43%
33
7
✓
TLSA −3.3
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Utah
47%
53%
20
41
✓
UTAH −0.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@Utah State
15%
85%
20
23
✓
USU −15.9
–
–
Final
Virginia@Virginia Tech
44%
56%
16
10
✗
VT −2.0
–
–
Final
Stanford@#25Washington
38%
62%
25
28
✓
WASH −4.4
–
–
Final
Washington State@#3UCLAUpset
13%
87%
34
30
✗
UCLA −17.4
–
–
Final
Penn State@#7West Virginia
17%
83%
30
51
✓
WVU −14.7
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
43%
57%
24
42
✓
WMU −2.4
–
–
Final
#12Wyoming@Colorado State
90%
9.6%
48
14
✓
WYO −21.3
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD William & Mary at #20 Georgia Georgia −43.2 >99%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD Southern Illinois at Kentucky Kentucky −47.7 >99%